# MASSIVE OIL CRISIS! Will Bitcoin CRASH HARD Because Of THIS NEWS? Bitcoin Price Prediction 2026

## Метаданные

- **Канал:** Crypto Jebb
- **YouTube:** https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=22_l1kbrPWY
- **Источник:** https://ekstraktznaniy.ru/video/35567

## Транскрипт

### Segment 1 (00:00 - 05:00) []

Hey guys and welcome back. In today's video, we're going to be talking about the major impact that the Iran war is having on US equities, but more importantly, the major impact that it is having on Bitcoin. Overnight, we have seen Bitcoin rally up above $70,000. And in today's video, we have to ask ourselves one question. Is Bitcoin starting to operate as the hedge against global instability that we've always known that it could be? Cuz it's certainly acting like that over the last couple of days. Today, I'm going to be explaining to you why this conflict is the exact right time to begin acquiring Bitcoin in preparation of the next bull market if you have not already. Without much further ado, let's go ahead and dive right on into it. Trump said the war will end soon and there's practically nothing left to target. In an interview with Axios recently, he said, "Little this and a little bit of that. Anytime I want to end it, it will end. " That's what he said. The war is going great. We are way ahead of the time uh timetable time timeline. We have done more damage than we thought possible e even in the original 6-w week period. So this is Trump more or less claiming victory, acting like they've already won. But the issue that we are running into right now is that there are a large number of ships inside of the straight of Hormuz that have been struck by the IRGC. We've seen no fewer than three vessels in the straight of Hormuz over just the last 48 hours struck. Um, several crew member are wounded. Many, many more are missing. And overall, the price of crude oil has been responding as you would expect. We originally saw our massive rally on the price of crude oil up here to aboutund $113 to $114 a barrel. We dropped back down and we actually are finding support on crude oil here at $84. Which means that if we go back to before the beginning of the war, crude oil was sitting down around $69. As of right now, it is sitting at 90. This is a significant increase in the price of crude oil. About a 30% increase. Now, when we work in the Bitcoin cryptocurrency markets, you might not think that that's a big deal. I mean, you come on over to Coin Market Cap and you can have just about anything moving 30% in a day, right? We have Pi, for example, that is up 28% in the last 7 days. And then we also have Midnight over here that's down 25% in the last 7 days. So, a 30% movement doesn't seem like that big of a deal, but when you're dealing with the global energy market, it's a huge deal because energy is the input that goes into literally every single product on planet Earth. If you have an online business, you're using electricity, you are also probably using plastic somewhere in that u manufacturing process, whether you're creating content online or you're running a factory or you are putting gasoline in a vehicle, whatever it may be, it has a knock-on effect. Let's not also forget the fact that the vast majority of products that are that show up in the store that you go to, they get there in the back of a truck and that truck has to have fuel. And if those fuel prices go up by 30%, shipping industry is not just going to become unprofitable, they are going to be forced to pass along those increases in operating costs to the consumer, which leads to inflation. Now inflation actually came out this morning. However, it is important to note that it is far too early for us to actually see the impact of what we are witnessing happen right now on inflation. Inflation has remained largely sideways, largely stagnant. And in fact, energy being so low is a major part of the reason why inflation has been able to be brought down towards target 2%. It's currently sitting at 0. 5% peranom. However, that is not going to continue. If you see Brent crude oil prices sitting up 30% for the next couple of months, you are going to start to see the energy side of CPI tick up by. 1% then. 1% then 2%. And that is going to cause all items to tick up as well. Right now, headline inflation is 2. 4%, core inflation is 2. 5%. Although it is very important to note that corn that headline inflation right here is largely driven by energy and while food has remained elevated, energy has remained low. Why is this? Well, if you'll recall about four years ago, we saw a certain conflict called the war in Ukraine breakout. And when that happened, we saw a major crash in US equities. A big part of the reason for that was that Ukraine was one of the largest food exporters in the world. And isn't it interesting that we are still seeing 3. 1% food inflation? This is not entirely because of the conflict in Ukraine. Although the conflict in Ukraine did drive at least a few percent a few ten of percentage points of this movement. And the exact same thing is going to happen if this conflict continues for the next several months. It is absolutely essential that this conflict comes to its ultimate conclusion very soon for global markets. We're only 2 weeks into this puppy. We are only now starting to see shipments being missed and that's only going to get worse. By the way, it's not just

### Segment 2 (05:00 - 10:00) [5:00]

liqufied natural gas and oil that come out of the Persian Gulf. It's also helium which is an essential component in uh super cooling for microprocessors and for chips which as you know is one of the big drivers of the economy. If it weren't for the chips industry, the S&P 500 would already be in freef fall. It is simply because of the tech sector that we are not in a major crash right now as far as equities are concerned. And so how does all of this play out? Well, the way that this plays out is that if we were to continue for the next 6 months, the exact way we are right now with a weakened IRGC still able to knock out shipping vessels in the straight of Hormuz, then that almost certainly means that you are going to see a major blood bath here on the S&P 500. It means that Brent crude oil is going to be sitting up here at least $90 a barrel, if not even higher. And it means that the stock market is going to go through that major corrective movement because you will essentially be moving into a stagflation kind of territory. You are having stagnant economic growth as a result of the impacts of this conflict and you have inflation as a result of what is going on with oil. Remember, I cannot stress this enough. Energy inputs lead to inflation across the board because agriculture needs energy to operate. Data centers need energy to operate. This is not just about plastic. This is mainly about energy. And so when energy costs go up, everything else goes up. If you have never realized that energy is the true economy of the modern world, this is your time to realize that it impacts everything. So if we continue the way that we are right now, I see absolutely no way forward that the stock market does not go through at least a major correction, if not a full-blown crash. likely on SPY here. We would be dropping down towards 612, which was our previous all-time high before the tariff sphere. And that would be a healthy correction. This would be an excellent place to load up on some indexes, build some positions, and um you know, buy and also there's a very real possibility that the S&P 500 could drop down here towards the 200 weekly simple moving average, which is of course that long-term average that the stock market and basically every other market in existence likes to revert to. We are very far away from that moving average. And in the same way that when Bitcoin was very far away from that moving average, people didn't want to hear it when we talked about the 200 weekly moving average. Nobody wanted to hear that Bitcoin was going to the 200 weekly moving average when we were super far away from it, right? When we were up here, no one wanted to hear that. That the 200E moving average was beckoning us. But it happened. Why? Because markets almost always revert to their long-term averages. And the same thing can be said right now for the S&P 500. A long-term reversion to that long-term average is highly likely. And that would only be about a 23% drop. So this isn't the end of the world, but it would present itself as a little miniature recession as a pretty large correction as far as equities are concerned. And you may end up seeing the exact same thing take place on KQ where you could see this drop down about 30%. But what bearing does this have on Bitcoin? Because ultimately that's what we care about is how does this impact Bitcoin? Well, it's interesting because over the last couple of weeks, ever since the beginning of this conflict, we've actually seen Bitcoin act as a hedge against stock volatility. If we bring up the S&P 500, it is absolutely fascinating to watch how Bitcoin when we have a gap down. See, we can see that there's this gap down. We have stocks close and then open. As they open low, Bitcoin rallies. It's very interesting. Now, stocks ended up rallying as well, but in general, Bitcoin has actually been showing itself to be quite strong during this time period. In fact, Bitcoin has managed to actually bounce off of an uptrending level of support we've been discussing quite extensively here on the channel. We've discussed how Bitcoin absolutely needs to give us some good news as it relates to this pattern because it jives very well, that's the technical term, with what we saw happen earlier on this year. We had a symmetrical triangle pattern right here and Bitcoin would go on to break bullish out of it, then fall over and reject off of the underside of the uptrending level of support and then that's when we saw that precipitous decline. However, right now we are seeing that Bitcoin is doing the exact opposite. We had that fake out breakout above the downtrend and instead of breaking below this uptrending level of support, we're actually breaking above it and finding support. This is extremely bullish. what Bitcoin is doing today is resoundingly remarkably very bullish. And so this is why we've been telling you for the last month that we do believe that in this bare market we'll probably see Bitcoin test $60,000 again and probably even go below it. However, it is extremely important to be prudent and to not fade entries on Bitcoin at or below $70,000 either because if you're not careful, what you're going to end up doing is saying, "I'm only going to take an entry on Bitcoin at $58,000 because Jeb said we're going to break $60,000. " And then guess what happens? I'm not perfect. I can be wrong. Maybe Bitcoin doesn't do that. And you missed out on a $70,000 entry because you're trying to get a

### Segment 3 (10:00 - 14:00) [10:00]

$58,000 entry. And at the end of the day, when Bitcoin rallies up to a quarter million dollars, both of those entries are going to be phenomenal. So take the entry that you have, play the market that you have. If we rally from 68,000, it's a 265 264% rally to 250. If you enter from 58,000, it's a 335% movement. Both of those are extremely powerful movements. phenomenal entries. So please consider the importance of trading the market that you have. If you like the current level, then enjoy it. Now, what I will say is that although Bitcoin is showing extreme strength on that short term, we do still need to get above $74,000 before we can have any kind of concrete confirmation of an uptrend. So, let's not get ahead of ourselves and say that Bitcoin is going into this massive uptrend because frankly right now what Bitcoin is doing is it is sitting in a symmetrical triangle pattern and that symmetrical triangle pattern simply has not given us much to work with yet. So, we cannot clearly discern a direction on Bitcoin right now. But what we can discern is that if things continue as they are in the equities market, it is going to lead to a major sell-off on stocks, which although in the short term, Bitcoin has been strong through could lead to major headwinds, which could end up causing Bitcoin to drop lower. Regardless though, we always more or less come back to the exact same point, and that is that Bitcoin is pristine capital, and you want it in your portfolio because it is incredibly scarce. Couple of other side notes. We also just saw the 20 millionth Bitcoin mined, which is phenomenal. That means over the next 120 years, there will be 1 million more Bitcoin mined. 95% of Bitcoin supply is already out there, which means at this point in time, we're probably seeing more Bitcoin being lost just to wallets being lost than we are seeing Bitcoin be mined. And on top of that, something we'll talk about in a future piece of content is that Micro Strategy's Stretch Preferred Stock is raising thousands of Bitcoin per week in purchasing. At this point in time, Strategy is acquiring Bitcoin faster than it can be mined. So, Strategies Strategy alone is almost acting like a having on Bitcoin, which is probably a big part of the reason why this bare market is going so much shallower than prior bare markets. We're most likely not going to see a 77% bare market. We're most likely not even going to see a 67% bare market. We might see a 57% bare market, but in general, as always, the most important thing is to get the entry. It's not that important whether you get in at 58 or 70. What's important is that you have the discipline and the patience to hold it until a million. We all know that it's coming. You simply cannot watch Bitcoin, which is the greatest investment, the greatest asset that has ever been created in the history of mankind, and not understand it well enough to understand where it's going. and where it's going is straight to the moon. So if you have not already built a position, if the if everything that we've talked about today has not already made it clear, you absolutely need to. You talk about a 30% increase on the price of Brent crude oil. You watch the supply shock going on over there. If we understand that supply shocks on crude oil cause a parabolic move on the price of oil, why don't we understand that supply shocks on Bitcoin will eventually cause a parabolic increase in the price of Bitcoin? They will. There's so many other angles that we're going to cover in future content. So, make sure to subscribe to the channel if you have not already for continued Bitcoin and cryptocurrency and financial market updates and for continued education and wisdom on how to profit and build an awesome life out of the Bitcoin space. If you enjoy today's video, also make sure to check out the sponsor of today's video, which is none other than Tubbit if you have not already because Tubbit is currently celebrating their three-year birthday. You can celebrate and share in $3. 5 million worth of prizes and you can also enter to win a Porsche, which is remarkable. So, if you haven't already, make sure to sign up for Two Bit with the link in the description box down below and get trading. Traders are getting massive rewards over here right now. So, sign up using our link and I look forward to seeing you drive around in that brand new Porsche when you win it. If you enjoy today's video, hit that like button, subscribe to the channel on X at CryptoJet. Before I go, I do just first want to thank each and every single last one of you for watching as always. And I will see you guys in the next video. Peace.