# SpaceX IPO: The Biggest Opportunity in Stock Market History!

## Метаданные

- **Канал:** Everything Money
- **YouTube:** https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNkpBE68i5M
- **Дата:** 30.04.2026
- **Длительность:** 23:48
- **Просмотры:** 64,012

## Описание

SpaceX is about to go public. Analysts are calling it the largest IPO in stock market history — bigger than Meta, bigger than Google, bigger than anything we've ever seen. And everybody wants in. But before you do anything, there are a few things you need to understand. I've been studying IPOs for a long time, I've seen this story play out before, and in this video I'm going to save you hours of research — break down exactly what's happening, how investors can invest in before it ipo's, and the most important number you need to know before you invest a single dollar.

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## Содержание

### [0:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNkpBE68i5M) Segment 1 (00:00 - 05:00)

SpaceX is about to go public. Analysts are calling this IPO the largest opportunity in stock market history. Bigger than Meta, bigger than Google, bigger than anything we've ever seen, and everyone wants in. But before you do anything, there are a few things you need to understand. I'm going to save you hours of research and share the things that you need to know that most people on YouTube probably are not discussing. So, most people know the name Elon Musk, but a lot of people don't know the full story of what he built with SpaceX. He started the company back in 2002. He was already rich from selling PayPal, and instead of buying a yacht, he sank most of that money into rockets. Why? Because he genuinely believes humans need to become multilanetary species. He thinks if we stay on Earth forever, we're one bad event away from extinction. Mars is his backup plan for humanity. Now, I know that sounds crazy except his company actually works. SpaceX builds and launches rockets. Their Falcon 9 is the most flown rocket in history. Think about that. He started the company in 2002, and the Falcon 9 is the most flown rocket in history. And they also pioneered something that almost nobody thought was possible, landing rockets back onto a launchpad so they can be used again. That one idea changed the entire space industry overnight. And guys, I don't say that lightly. It literally changed the way in which NASA handles the space industry. Then on top of that, there's Starlink. That is their satellite internet business. They've launched over 6,000 satellites into orbit. And right now, more than 4 million customers around the world, including myself, use Starlink to get internet, including ships, planes, and people in the middle of nowhere who had no other option. And there's also Starship. That's their giant rocket. The most powerful rocket ever built. They've been testing it and they've actually caught the booster with mechanical arms on the launchpad. No other private company's ever done anything close to this in space. So, how does a company like this actually make money? Let's get into that next. There are really three things going on here, and it helps to look at them one at a time. The first is launching rockets. As I mentioned earlier, the Falcon 9 is the most used orbital rocket in the world right now. It is doing a lot of different jobs. It's launching satellites. It's carrying astronauts to space station for NASA. And it's running missions for the military. And here's the important part. They're doing all of this while reusing the same rocket boosters over and over again. As opposed to what NASA did before, launch a rocket booster, it would get released, fall into the ocean, never used again. Some of SpaceX rocket boosters have flown more than 20 times. In 2024 alone, SpaceX launched 134 times. That's more than two launches every single week. That kind of consistency, especially in space, is extremely rare. Now, Starlink, back to that. Right now, like I said, they have over 6,000 satellites orbiting Earth, sending internet down to homes, boats, planes, and even government operations in more than 100 countries. They already have about 4 million subscribers, and that number is growing very rapidly. They're generating around eight or nine billion a year in revenue, which is actually more than the rocket business. Most people don't even realize that. The steady recurring revenue here is what really stands out. Now, that third piece of Starship, largest rocket ever built, 40 stories tall. SpaceX is developing it to go to the moon and eventually Mars while carrying much larger payloads at a much lower cost than we see today. It's still in the testing phase, but NASA has already committed about $4 billion to use it for a moon mission. Altogether, recent reports suggest SpaceX brings in over $15 billion a year, driven mostly by the rapid growth of Starlink and the steady pace of rocket launchers. So, where does all that money go? Here's the thing you need to understand as an investor. SpaceX does not pay dividends, which is fine. They're not handing money back to shareholders. Fine. They're in reinvesting all of it. Great. The biggest bet is Starship. SpaceX is spending somewhere around $2 to3 billion a year just on that program. That's the rocket we just talked about that they're building to go to the moon and eventually Mars. Elon Musk has said that Starship is everything to this company. Without it, there is no mission. And they'll also reinvest money into growing Starlink. So, let's talk about the IPO because guys, the story I've just told you right now is incredible. So, what's an IPO? What is an initial public offering? Think of it like this. You and your friend build a lemonade stand. It grows into something very large. One day you say, "Hey, we want to let other people own a piece of this. " So you sell shares to the public for the first time. That's the IPO. That's it. Now the question would be, why do they do this? Well, imagine if you own that lemonade stand and it generates $100,000 a year. Might be worth $400 or $500,000. Well, where's that money? Can't access it.

### [5:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNkpBE68i5M&t=300s) Segment 2 (05:00 - 10:00)

It's sitting in the lemonade stand. It's the value. You have to sell the whole lemonade stand to get the money. With an IPO, you can now sell shares on the public market also gives your shares an ability to be sold very quickly. It's for liquidity. And I'm not going to lie to you guys, there's a lot of sexiness involved with taking a company public, and a lot of re people do it for that exact reason. So, when is this going to happen? Well, we don't know the exact date, but the word out there it's going to happen sometime mid to end of June. The current report is around June 20th, but we don't know exactly right now. They've filed for a confidential initial public offering with the SEC. According to the reports that came out this past month, now the company is targeting a potential valuation of up to $1. 75 or $2 trillion. Guys, if that happens, this would be the largest IPO in history. But again, we don't have a confirmed date or value. So, what if you don't want to wait for the IPO to get some ownership in a SpaceX? Well, there's a lot you need to understand first because it gets a little tricky. There are platforms out there like Equity Zen or Forge Global that let regular investors buy shares in private companies before they go public. SpaceX is one of the companies available on these platforms. So, in theory, you can own a piece of SpaceX right now, today before the IPO ever happens. It sounds great, but here's what they don't put in the headline. First, the minimum investment. Guys, we're not talking about buying 10 shares for a couple hundred bucks here on these platforms. The minimum is typically $25,000. Some deals require even more. This is not a door that's open to everyone. They're trying to be exclusive. Second, liquidity. When you buy shares on one of these platforms, your money is locked up. You can't just sell whenever you want. You're in until there's a liquidity event, usually an IPO or some sort of acquisition. That could be who knows how long from now. They don't go public. It could be years or decades from now. You theoretically can sell, but there's a lot of restrictions on it. There's a lot of other rules involved that doesn't it's not as easy as buying. It's way harder to sell. Whenever it's harder to sell something than buy something, you got to be cautious. Third, and this is a big one, you're buying at a valuation that already reflects a lot of excitement. SpaceX's private valuation is already around $350 billion. That is not a secret anymore. The market has already priced in a lot of growth. So even if you get in before the IPO, you're not necessarily getting in cheap. You're getting in early, but not at a bargain. Fourth, these are not direct shares in SpaceX. Most of the time, you're buying through a special vehicle, a fund structure that holds the shares on your behalf. There are fees involved. There are risks involved that are different than just buying stock on an exchange. Now, is there another way? Yes. There are publicly traded companies that are connected to the space economy. companies like Rocket Lab, Planet Labs, and others that are already on the stock market, but they're not SpaceX, but they do give you exposure to the industry. Now, let me share something really important with you about IPOs before I even get into the biggest concern I have of those points I just made. When was the last time you heard about a massive hyped up IPO and thought, "This is it. I need to get in on day one because I've seen this play out over and over again. " And the story almost always ends up the same way, guys. In my 30 years of investing, I've been offered hundreds of IPOs. There's only one that I regret not buying, and that was Google. The rest of them, I believe there's zero now. So, let's talk about Facebook. 2012, everyone wanted in. It was the biggest tech IPO ever at the time. The stock opened at about $38 per share. People were lined up to buy it. And then it dropped and it kept dropping. Investors who bought on day one had to wait over a year just to get back to where they started. a year just to break even. Now guys, it's obviously worked out since then, but we don't hear about the stories that did not work out. Another IPO, Uber, 2019. Everyone in the world knew Uber. Everyone used Uber. It was a no-brainer, right? Well, the stock dropped the day it went public and stayed below its IPO price for years. If you bought in on day one, you waited four years before you were in the green. Looking back at the data on IPOs, 29% of IPOs traded a higher price 10 years later. It's not saying how much higher. And remember, 71% traded a lower price. So overall, they're a losing strategy from that standpoint. Another tidbit for you. If we just carve out the high tech stocks that are sexy and awesome, over the last 20 years, the return has been about 490% on the money on your investment. Sounds like a lot, right? It's not. Why? because the S& P 500 of that same period of time has performed almost 800%. So if you look at that, you're vastly underperforming the market, even buying the best of the IPOs with the large tech stocks. It doesn't mean you're not going to find a great deal, but what it means is be cautious. Google is one of the few honest exceptions. They were in 2004, they were already profitable, they were already dominant, bought on day one, you did

### [10:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNkpBE68i5M&t=600s) Segment 3 (10:00 - 15:00)

very well. But guys, that 490% re um return over the last 20 years. Again, I asked the question, how much of that was driven by Google? That is what's incredible. So, here's the pattern. Big exciting IPO comes out. And by the way, don't forget in an IPO, the investment bankers that are hired, they're not analysts. They're not financial guys. They're salespeople. Their job is to go on a road trip, a road tour to hype the crap out of the stock up. That way, they get a lot of people to buy it. So, it's big and exciting. it comes out, retail investors, which are regular people like you and me, we rush in. But the institutional investors, the big banks, the hedge funds, they probably already got their shares before trading even opened at better prices. So, by the time you're buying, you're often buying at the peak of the hype. So, what does that mean for SpaceX? Potentially the biggest IPO in history. If it follows the same pattern, the excitement alone could push that price to a place where the math just doesn't work in your favor. The question I have is, is it already not in your favor based on the current valuation? I have made every possible investing mistake you can imagine. I bought too high. I sold too early. I listened to the wrong people. And that's exactly why I built everything money. It was first built purely for me. I wanted the tools that gave me clarity and decreased the fear of investing. People saw me using these tools on YouTube and said, "Paul, can you share those? " And at first I said, "No, it's a data feed. " But then I realized I could make this. So I did and the real community was born. Real people sharing ideas, live chats, live streams, and tools that help you beat 99% of investors, but most importantly, help you sleep better at night because money can be very scary. I still use these tools every single day, like stock analyzer, real estate calculator. So stop guessing, start learning, start sleeping better. Try it for $7 for seven days. I'll see you in there. Okay guys, so this is the part of the video I really wanted to get to because if you've watched our channel, I'm very big on comparing price and value. Everything we've talked about so far, the business, the IPO, the patterns, it all comes down to this one idea. And once you understand it, you will never look at investing the same way again. Price and value are not the same thing. Listen to that The price is what you pay. Value is what you get. What it's actually worth. And the gap between those two numbers, that gap is everything for successful investors. So, let me give you a simple example. Imagine your neighbor is selling their house. They're asking $500,000, but you know, the house you've been inside, the roof leaks, the foundation has cracks, the kitchen hasn't been updated since 1987. That house might be worth $300,000 based on the work you need to put into it, but the price is 500,000. The value is 300,000. If you pay 500, you just made an expensive mistake. Now guys, I want to warn you. I've heard this from real estate agent brokers all the time. Well, Paul, it's going to be worth 500, so pay 500. But I got to put a 100 200,000 into it. So if I buy it for 500 and put 200,000 into it, I'm in it for 700,000. It's still worth 500 when it's all done and ready to go. Now flip it around. Same house, same problems. But now he thinks the problems are so awful and terrible and he's got to move and all this stuff. He priced the house for 150,000 because he needs to move fast. Suddenly, that's a very interesting proposition. The price is now way below the value. Enough where you buy it for 150, put 200 into it, you end it for 350, but the house is worth 500. That's what investors call a margin of safety. You're buying a dollar for 50. This is how great investors think about every single stock they buy, and I'm sure a lot of ways, every purchase they make. They don't think, is this a great story? They think, "Does the price and value match up? If so, how much lower can I get the price than the value to give myself that margin of safety? " Because guys, their fifth tenant of our principal driven investing is a great story becomes a bad investment if you pay the wrong price. You could buy the absolute best business in the world, but if you overpay, you're probably not going to do as well as underpaying for a good business that's misunderstood. The price you pay determines your return. How do we bring this back to SpaceX? Let me go to the board and show you. So, we're bringing this back to SpaceX. They might be the most exciting company to go public ever. It might be in your lifetime. I doubt that, but it might be. The mission is real. Technology is real. Business is real. Nobody should argue that. The question, the only question that matters is what is the right price to pay for it. Now, we don't know the financials, but what we can do is make comparisons. If SpaceX launches quite literally at a$ two trillion dollar market cap, what I would do is say, okay, what other companies out there are valued around two trillion? You might sit there and say, well, Paul, like how much higher, lower, etc. Of course, it doesn't matter if it's exactly two trillion, but I'm looking for companies that are trillion plus. So, let's look

### [15:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNkpBE68i5M&t=900s) Segment 4 (15:00 - 20:00)

example for Google. They're currently over $2 trillion. They're a $4 trillion company, so double that. But you can still buy shares in them. So, one way to do a great job is to compare price to sales ratio because we don't know what what um SpaceX is profiting right now. We don't know anything about them besides even the revenue is estimated. So, what's their revenue estimation? Well, they're estimated to be making about $15 billion per year in revenue. That's money coming in. It's before all expenses, everything. 15 billion in revenue. All right. So, Google's twice the size. It's the market cap of 4 trillion. So double this and you'd hope that Google at is generating $30 billion a year in revenue guys. The revenue last year was $42 billion. So this one metric alone doesn't mean that it's right or wrong. But let me ask this question. If you're paying $2 trillion for 15 billion in revenue versus you can spend four billion for $400 billion four trillion for $400 billion in revenue. Where's the upside here? You might sit there and say, "Well, Paul, the revenue is so insanely much it could be so much higher. The growth is bit bigger than Google. " Yeah, the growth is bigger than Google, but you're already paying for that growth. Right now you're at 120 times revenue here for SpaceX. 15 billion* 120 is about it's actually it's about 1. 8 trillion here for Google it's 10 times. Again I know what the story is going to be but Paul SpaceX can grow so much faster. It's more I know that. But let me ask you a question. Would you rather pay show Otani $60 million a year because he's already a proven track record or pay some high school kid $30 million a year because he has the potential to grow into much something much greater? That's the comparison here. So if I'm going to pay 4 trillion for 400 billion versus two trillion for 15 billion, which one would I rather do? That's the question here for SpaceX. Forget about the profit, forget about the cash flow, all that stuff. Let's just compare sales. 120 time sales versus 10 time sales. And by the way, guys, I'm not arguing that Google's even worth it. This is assuming they're worth their current price. Now, guys, I get it. I really do. You've been watching this video and part of you is sitting there thinking, "Yeah, but Paul, it's SpaceX. It's Elon. It's rockets. It's Mars. It's Starlink. What if this is the one? What if I put just a little in and see what happens? " Guys, I understand that feeling completely. It's human. And I'm not here to tell you that you're stupid for thinking it. We have FOMO. We all have FOMO. But I want you to be honest with yourself about what that is. Because there's a word for putting money into something based on excitement rather than value. It's not investing. It's speculating. If you're going to put a little bit of money that's just fund money to speculate on this, I just want you to remember that it is speculation. It is not investing. Because these numbers do not make sense. Even if SpaceX 10xed their revenue right now and went to 150 billion, giving them the same 10x of revenue for value, it's still 1. 5 trillion, which is lower than the IPO expectation. So, they have to 10x to still not even be worth what they're doing, what they're going to value themselves out right now. But there's nothing wrong with making a bet that's fun as long as you know what you're doing. I'm not here to tell you how much to put in, how much not to put in. I'm just here to give you the actual analysis of what you're buying out there. I just want you to remember to call it what it is. A speculation, a bet, a lottery ticket, a fun money play. Because the moment you start thinking that it's an investment, you need to start making decisions based on fundamentals. But right now, it's based on emotion instead of math. And that's where people can get hurt. The dangerous version of this isn't the person who puts in a little and notes to gamble. The danger dangerous version is the person who puts in a lot because they're convinced that it's absolutely perfect. The justification is the hype works this time. It's always different until it isn't. So, if you're going to bet, all I ask you to do is bet responsibly as the ad says. Know it's a bet, but before anything else, make sure your foundation is solid. And here's what I mean by that. If you have a 401k at work, that's your first priority. Max it out. Put it in lowcost ETFs or marketbased ETFs. If your employer matches your contribution, that's free money. An instant return before you've invested in a single thing. No IPO, no SpaceX trade, no bet in the world that beats that. Not one. If you have a Roth IRA, max that out. Make sure you're hitting your retirement goals before you take the extra fund money. That's the way I live my life, guys. So, if I'm doing that with all the things I have going, I want you to as well. Do those things first every single year without fail. Put your money into lowcost ETFs and buy individual stocks that are great businesses at great prices, real earnings, real cash flow, real value. That's the foundation. That's what builds actual wealth over a lifetime. SpaceX might be the most

### [20:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNkpBE68i5M&t=1200s) Segment 5 (20:00 - 23:00)

exciting IPO you ever see. But excitement doesn't fund your retirement. Discipline does. Price, value, and patience. That's it. Now, I want to leave you with something that I think is far more valuable than any stock tip or IPO prediction you'll ever hear. These are the five tenants that I invest by that our entire community lives by. The thousands of people in our community and in our software. This framework right here is something you absolutely need if you want to be a better investor. These five tenants are what separates investors who build real wealth from the speculators who keep making the same expensive mistakes over and over again. If you've made it this far in the video, you're probably far more of an investor than you may even realize. Tenant number one, we are investors, not speculators. That one sentence alone would have saved a lot of people from chasing SpaceX on IPO day at the wrong price. Now, the scary part is most speculators think they're investors. We're here to try to show you guys the difference. Tenant number two, every investment is the present value of all its future cash flows. That means you're not buying just a story. You're not just buying excitement. You're buying real money that a real business is going to generate in the future. If the numbers don't support the price you walk, if I offered you a dollar per day the rest of your life, you paying a million dollars for it is not going to go very well. You paying $1 for it is probably going to go very, very well. The same stream of income, different price. Tenant three, if we don't understand it, we don't invest in it. This one has saved me more time than I can count. If I can't explain how a company makes money, I'm probably not going to be able to explain how it's losing money, and I have no business owning it. Period. Tenant four. In the short run, the stock market is a voting machine. In the long run, it's a weighing machine. What that means is in the short run, popularity wins, hype wins, excitement wins, but over time, the real value of the business always wins. Always. You just have to be patient enough to let it in. And you have to be patient enough and strong enough to get rid of all the noise. Tenant number five, one I mentioned earlier, a great story becomes a bad investment if you pay the wrong price. I always save this one for last because it's the entire lesson of this video wrapped up in one sentence. SpaceX is a phenomenal story. Nobody I'm not arguing that. The question, the only question is what price makes it a great investment. And that answer requires more math than people want to let in. It's easier to sit there and get excited about the emotion, but the math of it is what matters. These five tenants act like guardrails, guys. They're not telling you what to buy. They keep you from doing the things that destroy most people's portfolios. Chasing hype, panic selling, overpaying for a great story, investing in things you don't understand. So, click the link in the description or in the pinned comment at the top. Download the PDF. It's absolutely free. Print it out. It'll give you all five of these tenants. Explain them thoroughly. Put it somewhere where you'll see it constantly like I do. Because the best investment decision you'll ever make isn't a stock pick. It's investing in yourself to have a framework that keeps you from making the mistakes that cost you everything. So, I want you to watch the video that's on your screen right now because about a year ago, I did something that a lot of people thought was crazy and I'd back down from. I picked seven stocks of my own to go up against the magnificent seven, the Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla. Seven of the most powerful companies on the planet. And I said that my seven stock picks would beat the Magnificent Seven over the next decade. People probably don't believe it. Some people were actually a little upset about it. And I think when you see the results, you're going to be a little surprised by my reaction. I think there's a likelihood that these stocks that I picked have a shot at being the SpaceX IPO over the next 10 years. Not because they're more exciting, because the price was lower than the value. That's the whole lesson. Click the video, go watch. Thank you for your time.

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*Источник: https://ekstraktznaniy.ru/video/49534*