# Are we overestimating how close AI is to replacing human workers? #worldsciencefestival

## Метаданные

- **Канал:** World Science Festival
- **YouTube:** https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zDlWzjFpi8
- **Дата:** 18.05.2026
- **Длительность:** 1:32
- **Просмотры:** 11,104
- **Источник:** https://ekstraktznaniy.ru/video/51870

## Транскрипт

### Segment 1 (00:00 - 01:00) []

There's always been a lot of fear when any new technology comes along that there won't be a place for human beings to still do useful, interesting, important work. And I think this is the first time when people really started to take that idea seriously. So, do you think with the way things are going, do you see them displacing a great deal of the workforce? Not in the short term. I mean, I sort of have good news and bad news. And I'll give you them both and then go through them. — Yeah. So, the good news is in the short term, I don't think that much employment is actually going to be replaced. The simplest way to think about it is a distinction, I guess I got originally from Erik Brynjolfsson, um which is between tasks and jobs. AI is pretty good at many, but not all tasks. It's not very good at many complete jobs. And so, what happens as a function of that is it makes people who do jobs do those jobs better or more, you know, more efficiently. Sometimes it makes them work harder or whatever. Um it has different permutations. It changes the nature of those jobs. There are very few things that AI does reliably enough, um especially generative AI, which is most of what we've been talking about, such that it can actually replace a person. There may be some, but most of the jobs so far that I think have been replaced are really just CEOs looking to do job cutting and they're using it as a shield. There aren't that many studies showing that full jobs can be replaced by AI. You know, Jeff Hinton said in 2016, we might as well stop training radiologists. There's still been no radiologists replaced as far as I know.