Sam Altman's Surprising WARNING For GPT-5 - (9 KEY Details)
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Sam Altman's Surprising WARNING For GPT-5 - (9 KEY Details)

TheAIGRID 18.03.2024 51 260 просмотров 1 321 лайков

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Оглавление (7 сегментов)

Intro

so Sam Alman actually gave a recent talk SL interiew in which he gave us some very new and stunning Revelations on GPT 5 so in this video what I will try to do is show you guys the nine biggest things and the nine biggest takeaways from that talk that he gave and it was actually pretty surprising because things are changing rapidly and if you aren't paying attention um you're going to get shocked by what gbt 5 has to offer so without wasting any more time let's dive into the first point so

First Point

one of the first things that uh you know Sam Alman said was that he said GPT 5 will exceed all expectations so it says Sam Alman CEO of opening eye said that the extent of GPT 5 performance improvements will exceed expectations and has cautioned against the delay in Innovation that overlooked this each time the gpt's next model was developed it is emphasized that more new thinking is needed as various areas of daily life as well as businesses are inevitably replaced and disappear and in fact this is the first time that CEO Sam Alman has given such a confident signal about the performance of GPT 5 he made it clear that his and opening ey's goal is to build artificial general intelligence which we all know about and that if a large amount of computational resources are invested to accelerate the arrival of AGI many problems in reality such as the power shortage required for AI computation can be easily solved and they also made optimistic predictions that this would happen now we're going to be talking a lot more about some of this stuff but the first point here is that gbt 5 will exceed all expectations now later on the video you're going to see how some other points that he made actually do tie into this but the point here is that gbt 5 is going to exceed what we think it's capable of and I think Sam mman is saying that because maybe a lot of people are thinking about you know these AI systems in a very one dimension and what I mean by that is that you know I guess a lot of people are thinking about GPT 5 as a very one-dimensional system but perhaps so what samman and open ey are doing is a lot more uh I guess you could say in terms of what we think now we don't know when this system is going to come but I'm guessing that since it's going to exceed expectations maybe it's going to be competing on certain benchmarks that we haven't even thought about for example there might be the swe Benchmark which is software engineering for real tasks Benchmark there might be new benchmarks because this AI system has a new capability that many people haven't even thought of and I think that is probably where it's going to exceed expectations considering the advanced reasoning capabilities and how good this system could be now one of the reasons I think it's going to also exceed expectations is because if we take a look at GPT 5 you have to remember that it finished training in around I think it was 2022 or 2023 I'm not exactly sure on the year been doing so many videos recently but the point is that it's been over a year since GPT 4's released and competitors need to be able to catch up to that and they've only caught up fairly recently so we have basically got an entire year ahead in terms of where open AI is compared to the competitors and that's why I think it's definitely going to shock us now number two is that

Second Point

AGI is of course potentially going to be a done deal so of course on March 14th local time during a meeting with the Korean Silicon Valley correspondent group CEO Sam Alman mentioned I'm not sure when GPT 5 will be released but it will make significant progress as a model taking a Leap Forward in advanced reasoning capabilities there are many questions about whether there are any limits to GPT but I can confidently say no he expressed confidence that if sufficient Computing resources are invested building AGI that surpasses human capabilities is entirely feasible so Point number two is that AGI might just be a done deal so what do I mean by this essentially what samman is stating here as we've previously discussed on this channel many times before is that AGI is something that seems to be largely solved by open aai and that the only barrier to making this technology is the compute resources needed and I think that is of course something that openi are taking into consideration with the fact that they lack enough compute to even run their systems currently gp4 is on limited access you know only 25 messages every 3 hours or 40 messages and it shows us that they really don't have that much compute and that they're saving the compute for other things not only for solving super alignment as they said in their blog but you know he's expressed confidence that if enough Computing resource are invested that building AGI that surpasses human capabilities is entirely feasible now another thing that I want to add here before we move on to the next point is that there's some Nuance in the statement now this was actually translated from Korean to English so there might be some discrepancies in what Sam Alman actually did say but I think if Sam Alman did say that AGI that's a parest human capabilities that is you know teetering on the edge of artificial super intelligence which is you know very you know good and very crazy in terms of its capability so that will be a pretty crazy thing so point number two is that AGI seems like it's a done deal and the 7 trillion deal which we all spoke about that is of course something that Sam Alman has you know spoke about before and it seems like he's going to be moving forward with that because it's necessary for the artificial general intelligence system to be built so that is going to be something that is rather fascinating a third point is that of

Third Point

course the economy will change once again CEO Sam Alman also said that underestimating the Improvement margin of the developing GPT 5 and deploying business accordingly would be a big mistake this implies that the Improvement margin of GPT 5 is beyond imagination he mentioned many startups are happy assuming that gbt 5 will only make slight progress rather than significant advancements since it presents more business opportunities but I think this will be a big mistake in this case as often happens when the technological upheavals occur they will be steamrolled by the Next Generation models so this is rather fascinating because Sam mman clearly is saying here that gbt 5 is on a level which is you know as I think they said beyond imaginations but this is something that you know like I said in the video two days ago um Zaman has previously stated that build with you know the fact that gb5 is going to be insane and that AGI will be achieved relatively quickly which means if you're building a company right now you have to understand that AGI is going to be achieved soon which means that you know certain things that you're building certain software and certain systems you have to think okay how wouldn't AGI fit into this because that is where the future is headed anyway so you need to be thinking about that so you can benefit from AGI rather than AGI coming and then of course you know getting steamroll by the Next Generation model it's like if you're building something that's like a large language model before if you're building something like a simple writer based app or something like that you know uh it doesn't really make sense to do that when we have uh you know gbt 4 type systems about so the point is that you need to build with AGI in mind and build with the fact that gbt 5 is going to have advanced capabilities and of course you know in this case often happens when technological upheavals occur they're going to get steamrolled by the Next Generation so you know many startups are happy assuming GT5 is only going to make slight progress and what he means by this is that you know if gbt 5 makes slight progress on gbt 4 of course it's good for businesses because they can still use it but I'm guessing that GPT 5 is probably going to make many uh businesses obsolete in the sense that like for example you know some people rrap GPT 4 for example let's say you use GPT 4 in like a you know something like grammar maybe Grammy goes up sete because G pt5 is so good that you no longer need to use Gramm Le for doing all sorts of things you can just do everything with that one type of system so um happy assuming that's it's only going to make slight progress rather than significant advancements um this is a big mistake so um don't get steamrolled by the Next Generation model something big is coming the economy will change once again in terms of you know uh the sliding SL shifting jobs market in terms of how companies are going to react to this so this is something that you must be paying attention to if you're someone who is building something or in that industry don't get steamrolled by the Next Generation model ensure that you are prepared for these uh Advanced capabilities now another thing and this think this one is quite uh obvious but at the same time not that obvious but um he's just focused on AI it says Sam Alman appears to have had no interest in other than building AGI so his interest seems to have faded in other Technologies including blockchain and biotechnology Beyond AI he said in the past I had a broad perspective on everything happening in the world and could see things I couldn't from a narrow perspective unfortunately these days I'm entirely focused on ai all of the time and at Full Tilt making it difficult to have other perspectives and I think the reason samman has shifted to just entirely focusing on AI is because I think he understands that once you solve the artificial general intelligence problem I think every other problem gets solved by default for example if we manage to solve the compute problem and we manage to get AGI across the board every other industry ripples in effect because if we can have AGI workers AGI software developers AI AGI level researchers uh you know let's say we can clone them we've got like a million of these clones are running 24/7 doing non-stop research non-stop work that is an a THX a million x prod productivity boost and the amount of work that's going to get done is seriously incredible which means the economy is going to start moving at light speed and of course things like biotechnology things like the blockchange that they are going to be moving very rapidly thanks to the advancement of AGI so I think it's going to be a thing where he's just focus on AGI because he understands that yes you know all of these other things are going to be solved but I think everything is going to be largely solved by AGI so samman right now is just purely focused on AGI another thing

Fifth Point

number five is that more compute is needed now we obviously previously discussed this but it says recently CEO Sam Alman has been working towards innovating the goal innovating the global AI infrastructure sparking discussions with rumors of seven trillion dollar in funding he said apart from thinking about the Next Generation AI model the area where I've been spending most of my time recently is Computing construction as I'm increasingly convinced that Computing will become the most important currency in the future that is a crazy statement and he says however the world has not planned for sufficient Computing and is failing to confront this issue pondering what is needed to build an enormous amount of computing as cheaply as possible poses a significant Challenge and this indicates a major concern about securing computational resources for implementing AGI now essentially this is what I've highlighted in yellow and I think it's really important because you know compute is going to be the most important currency in the future and that means that we are about to see another technological shift in some of these companies like tsmc Nvidia because the gpus the comput the you know the cloud space all of these companies that we're going to be needing to use these are going to be some of the most important things in the future because they are going to be the backbone of these AGI systems and you know right now it seems that Sam Alman you know now that he's focusing on you know looking at you know the hardware side where he's looking to just power these systems it seems that maybe the open AI on the software side have probably figured out all the algorithms they need in order to get what the end goal is which is Agi and of course ASI so I'm guessing that since artificial general intelligence the level of progress that we've seen is largely you know nearly solved they probably solved the last you know I guess you could say piece of the puzzle being compute it seems that samman is rapidly trying to increase that compute capacity because that seems like it's probably the main issue now here we have

Sixth Point

point six and point six is that there's likely an event tomorrow now this isn't directly from the thing article but this is a high possibility this was a comment from Reddit but I also do agree with this and someone said I posted this comment elsewhere but now we have multiple things pointing to a March 19 release number one is the same conditions as the Tuesday March 14th GPT 4 release last year which was a Microsoft Event on Thursday an upcoming Lex Friedman interview with Sam mman we also have Microsoft co-pilot offering GPT for turbo for free so there's very little incentive for chat GPT plus we also have the discontinuation of plugins on chat GPT on March 19th and Microsoft's event is titled advancing the new era of work with co-pilot and what would they be advancing if they just showed us the same co-pilot we've had this entire time if it's anything last like last year Microsoft would want to show us something big of course we could be wrong now of course it's always is not really good to speculate about when events are going to happen because it kind of just creates this full sense of hype and we do know that with uh you know Sam Alman open ey and with whatever is going on we never really know now of course we do know that the recent lawsuit did put a spanner in the works because they were planning on releasing something and we know that kind of makes things a little bit more difficult but the point is that potentially there could be an event tomorrow because it's very close to the um dates at what we've had last year and samman is doing another I wouldn't say press tour but he's doing another one of his famous interviews and that was the time he released something as well now in

Seventh Point

addition to that an open AI employee and this is someone that doesn't really tweet a lot about hype so Point number seven is that someone else has tweeted that it's been one year since GPT 4's release hope you all enjoyed some time to relax it will have been the slowest 12 months of AI progress for quite some time to come so if we take a look back here we can see that ladies and gentlemen the last 12 months of AI progress apparently have been the slowest progress of AI for quite some time and I think that the AI progress has been pretty crazy from everything to robotics to Gemini Pro Gemini ultra um with anthropics claw 3 um but apparently this is slow appar like so the opening eye employees are stating that you know what the last 12 months have been slow which means that what we're about to enter from today's date you know Marth 16 onwards um are going to show you how fast things are going to move which means that there are going to be a lot of changes going on in many different Industries that will likely surprise us so that is going to be something that is pretty shocking um and yeah it's pretty interesting because uh like someone said before this is someone that doesn't really tweet a lot of hype stuff but then again of course as you know if you're going to Tweet something about your company you're always going to make sure it's going to be in a good light now coming in at the eighth Point here is that Sam Alman actually did say that patience Jimmy it will be worth the wait this is in response to an open AI leaker who has a lot of information but essentially he's stating that look we're waiting for something we're going to drop something but when it does drop it's going to be 100% worth the weight which means that likely whatever is coming next isn't going to be some kind of you know standard level AI system I think that even though I've made predictions before on what gbt 5 has you know like what they've outlined for it I think in the future it's going to be a rapidly crazy system and I think that realistically what we're going to have here is something that is really really surprising so I am going to be you know waiting for whatever they're going to drop and I think that you know them stating that it's going to be worth the wait means that they're largely going to be dropping something that probably blows the competition out of the water now coming in at number nine is something also rather fascinating as well it's because Sam mman also recently said just after that you know interview thing was that um you know this is the most interesting year in human history except for all future years and he basically said that this is you know the takeoff like the takeoff that we're experiencing right now um in this year is Monumental change so I'm guessing that potentially he could be thr referring to the fact that this was the year that the AGI algorithm was figured out this was the year that they figured out how to do it maybe this is the year that they deployed gbt 5 which is you know a media level AGI system I have no idea what's going on but um Point here is that what he said is that this is the most interesting year in human history is a pretty bold statement and I think what he's also referring to is takeoff speed so if we take a look at this graph you can see that this shows us the takeoff um and of course we've got super exponential growth and then you know the Y galski growth which is a just sudden takeoff which is like out of nowhere then boom but I think this is going to be likely the one that we're experiencing now because every year just gets exponentially better and of course super exponential growth um is probably what we're going to be experiencing because he's saying that this is the most interesting year in human history except for all future years so I'm guessing like I said before they know what's coming with the AI systems they know what they're able to do they know where they're able to go and that means that they're able to see where things are going to go with their systems and since they're leading the race he can come out and clearly say that this is the most interesting year in human history except for all future years now out of all these points what do you think about GPT 5 do you think it's going to be as crazy as samman says do you think they really need these Computing resources um either way it's a very interesting time to be someone who's looking at the AI space because things are moving quicker than they've ever have and if you did enjoy the video I will see you in the next

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