Open AI Just Dropped A BOMBSHELL (AGI Within 18 Months? )
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Open AI Just Dropped A BOMBSHELL (AGI Within 18 Months? )

TheAIGRID 29.10.2023 64 356 просмотров 1 422 лайков

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Оглавление (9 сегментов)

Intro

so Sam Alman slop aai quietly dropped a bombshell that I don't think anyone is talking about and this video needs to be shared around because I think AGI is literally just around the corner I know many different futurists predict AGI being 2029 people like Ray kwell predicts that AI will surpass human intelligence and the touring test by 2029 and that we're going to have AGI by around this time but I believe that it's actually quite earlier than that and if you're wondering about Elon Musk we did do a video on that where Elon Musk actually stated that he believes that we only have a few years left before we do have AGI and he predicts this around 2029 or 2027 but I will have a full clip for you like my prediction AGI

Elon Musk

would roughly match that which I think raywell at one point said 2029 that would rough that's roughly my guess too give would take a year so if it takes like an additional 6 months or 12 months for AGI that's really not a big deal if it's you know like spending a year to make sure AGI is safe probably worthwhile you know if that's what it takes but I wouldn't expect it so what

Open AI Changes Core Values

is this bombshell that open AI secretly dropped well according to this article and I did see a few screenshots going around on Twitter but we now do have the information so we can actually verify this small change this article says open ey has quietly changed its core values now core values are that of a company where a company is going to be focusing on okay so for example if you start a company selling cupcakes your core values are going to be maybe quality cupcakes healthy cupcakes and just great customer satisfaction and for open AI the core values have been changed okay you can see chat gbt Creator open aai quietly revised all of the core values listed on its website in recent weeks putting greater emphasis on the development of AGI artificial general intelligence and if you don't know what AGI is samman has described AGI as the equivalent of a median human that you could hire as a coworker and essentially why AGI is going to be a game changer is because AGI would be a one siiz fits all for pretty much any computer system or any system where you could have a human in it so AGI would fundamentally not only change the internet but pretty much change the world as we know I mean AI could literally go ahead and create you a video it could go ahead create you a song and do res search for you and interact with many different applications AGI will change the world so it goes on to State the Open Eyes careers page previously listed six core values for its employees okay so they show and give us a link to this screenshot page well it's actually the internet archive so this is the

Wayback Machine

screenshot of this page this is the Wayback machine essentially what you can do is you can use the Wayback machine on any website and any web page to see if there were changes made to that page by flicking through the dates and of course this is where the core values are right now at that time in September the 5th 2023 so you can see it's audacious thoughtful unpretentious impact driven collaborative and growth oriented so this talks about bold bets and aren't afraid to go against established Norms they're welcoming diversity of thought they're not deterred by the boring work and not motivated to prove we have the best ideas then of course deeply about real world implications and applications and of course you can see continuous learning and growth now what's

Core Values

interesting is if we go to that same web page today okay and you'll see that this is completely changed okay now this core value section you can see that it now States at the top AGI Focus we're committed to building safe so you can see right here that currently the core values have shifted to AGI focus and it says we are committed to building safe beneficial AGI that will have a massive positive impact on Humanity's future anything that doesn't help with that is out of scope so that is crazy because they've put this as the first point meaning that currently something has changed to open AI to where they've decided that AI is going to be their North Star and by North Star I mean their focal point for where the company is going to go which means that systems like chat GPT and doly three are going to potentially be subparts of this AGI and what's interesting is that they said anything that doesn't help with that is out of scope so maybe this means that open ey was working on certain things and certain products that weren't necessarily going towards AGI but may still be AI based and now they've decided you know what we're not going to be working on that anymore we've now decided to just be focusing on AGI so that is why this is a Secret Bombshell that they secretly dropped silently updating their page and we now know that this is pretty insane now further on in the video I'm going to talk about some more leaks which were absolutely incredible that show us that this could have potentially been predicted by a few comments on Twitter and on Reddit so you can also see that they also talk right here about scale we believe that scale in our models our systems ourselves our processes and our ambitions is magic when in doubt scale it up so you can see that this means across the board they're trying to scale up their efforts and ramp up exactly what they're doing this is a company that is not slowing down I think GPT 5 is going to be a Monumental upgrade from what everyone even thinks and it's definitely going to shock a lot of people I mean darly 3 for me definitely shocked me because it's currently better than mid journey and mid journey is pretty high quality stuff so I think this is going to be really interesting because AGI is something that will literally change the entire internet change the entire world and we aren't really sure what happens after AGI because if there's an AGI with an IQ of let's say 155 or 160 one that's far above any standard human and technically considered genius level this means that we could definitely scale this AGI and have it running in multiple countries on multiple different systems executing multiple tasks and speeding up the level of scientific research 10-fold which would unlock many different scientific breakthroughs which could have a range of different important consequences now don't mind about my definition about AGI looked at what opening ey said so back in 2018 and of course this is 5 years ago so maybe they have changed their definition but this is still on their page they say this document reflects the strategy we've refined over the past two years including feedback from many people internal and external to open AI the timeline to AGI remains uncertain but our Charter will guide us in acting in the best interest of humanity throughout its development opening ey's mission is to ensure the artificial general intelligence AGI by which we mean highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work benefit all of humanity we will attempt okay attempt to directly build safe and beneficial AGI but will also consider our mission fulfilled if the work AIDS others to achieve this outcome so I want to talk about two words that are pretty crazy here okay we know about autonomous systems okay and autonomous basically means that this AI isn't exactly free it does work within the con confines but it can you know do a Google search it can call up on certain tools it does have a sense of its own autonomy which I don't think is consciousness but it is a step up from chat GPT because what's different about chat GPT versus autonomous systems is that autonomous systems run by themselves they don't need you to prompt them they'll simply read a task or find out what needs to be done and then they'll execute that with lightning speed whereas with chat GPT we need to be able to prompt it ask it you know how's the weather when we're browsing the internet or ask it can you write a paragraph about this for me and then it outputs that information other than that it doesn't really exist out of that scope now what was also interesting is that they said we will attempt to build directly safe AGI which means that this doesn't have to go right I mean it could fail we know that a is definitely going to be something that is pretty hard but at the same time AGI is an advanced level of artificial intelligence that could be potentially a bit dangerous because we're starting to M we're starting to move into murky Waters which means that we don't know exactly what's going to happen when these systems are deployed in the world now before we go on to these points because there's some very interesting stuff I want to talk about something that is so interesting that I think you need to pay attention to this if you are someone that is in the AI space because this doesn't have enough people talking about it and it is literally the biggest thing in terms of AI news that you could ever find so pay attention if it's one part of the video pay attention to what I'm about to say so on September the 18th 2023 Jimmy

Jimmy Apples

apples tweeted AGI has been achieved internally now you might be thinking who on Earth is Jimmy apples and why does his statement on AGI even matter Jimmy apples if you didn't know is essentially an open AI leaker we aren't sure of what he is or what he does but we do know that he always does have early information about GPT 4 or whatever open ey is currently working on if you're wondering about any skepticism regarding his statements previous statements around open ey have come out with 100% accuracy for example he actually tweeted and got the release date of GPT 4 a week before it was even announced meaning that he definitely has some kind of inside information now many sources speculate that this Jimmy Apple's guy is someone that spies on people near the open AI headquarters now you can see that there's a 10-minute video which goes into this and they talk about how Jimmy Apple says let's pick a random date and March 14th and then of course GPT 4 is of course announced on that exact date we know that this person whoever they are definitely has some inside information now back to the statement about AGI he said that AGI has been achieved internally on September the 18th 2023 now what's crazy is that a week later the CEO Sam Altman tweeted that AGI has been achieved internally okay and he tweeted this on a certain post and then what was crazy was that he actually edited this comment and said obviously this is just Ming when AGI is achieved it will be announced and it won't be announced with a Reddit comment so at the same time it seems that Sam mman is aware of this opening ey leaker and he understands that whatever is going on behind the scenes that Jimmy apples is likely to know a decent amount about it so at the same time I find it super interesting that Jimmy apples goes ahead and says AI has been achieved internally then a little bit over a

Open AI AGI

month later open AI start to talk about AGI and state that AGI is simply their main focus and their core values anything that doesn't help with that is out of scope which leads me to believe that Sam Alman and his team at open AI are much closer to AGI than we initially think which means that the timelines for AGI continue to shorten and this is something that continually blows my mind there isn't any other industry where the timelines for advanced technology keeps on decreasing something like this is just unheard of but of course this is artificial intelligence so what do they talk about AGI when they are planning for it so open ey posted about this where they said planning for AGI and beyond our mission is to ensure that artificial general intelligence AI systems that are generally smarter than humans benefit all of humanity so Sam Alman says our mission is to ensure that artificial general assessments benefit so it says yes if AGI successfully created this technology could help us evaluate Humanity by increasing abundance turbocharging the global economy and aiding the discovery of new scientific knowledge that changes the limits of possibility these three things are going to be major shakeups if open a ey within the next 18 months announces AGI I don't think you understand how quickly the world is going to have to adapt to our new future massive job loss is going to be coming because companies are going to see that this system this AGI is going to be able to do literally the work of 10 workers for half the price of that or even one tenth of the cost for these workers that you have to pay a complete salary you have to provide them with Benefits you have to have a HR certain companies are just going to be laying off entire workforces and just replacing them with AGI and I think that will definitely shake up the economy because I don't think our economy is suited to having maybe 30 to 20% of the workforce just immediately being out of a job that's definitely going to be something that rocks the financial boat in addition the reason the world is going to change is because if we have these AGI autonomous agents doing scientific research at the same level that these other researchers are doing it for a tenth of the cost we will have ridiculous scientific discoveries and increased rate which means that each scientific discovery is going to push Society further and then of course as you know that's going to change the world even further so of course it says on the other hand AGI would also come with serious risk of misuse drastic accidents and societal disruption because the upside is so great we do not believe it is possible or desirable for society to stop its development forever instead the developers of AGI have to figure out how to get it right and although we cannot predict exactly what will happen and of course our current progress could hit a wall we can articulate the principles we care about most so of course they basically talk about how AGI is going to be gradually transitioned into the world so they're not just going to wake up one day and gradually deploy 10 million agis all over the Internet it's going to be gradual which means it's going to give people policy makers and institution time to understand what's happening now of course you're here you're on this side of the internet technological advancements which means you're paying attention so you know that this is coming which means you do have time to prepare and as it says for people to collectively figure out what they want while the stakes are relatively low you can see that they also talk about how to deal with job displacement and more as our systems get closer to AGI we are becoming increasingly cautious with the creation and deployment of our models are decisions will require much more caution than Society usually applies to new technologies and more caution than many users would like some people in the field like to think the risks of AGI and other systems are fictitious we would be happy if they turned out to be right but we're going to operate if these risks are existential so they're trying to say that look this is pretty crazy we understand that AGI if it happens when it happens is going to shake up society and we're not going to be able to completely plan for that we're going to have to gradually add it to society and see exactly how it works so I think this shows us that this bombshell that they've dropped okay from them saying that AGI has been achieved internally as a pretty much joke and then going back on that statement and then now their core value is being completely updated to AGI I don't think it's that far away now if you're wondering why we do have to look at other systems which are quite similar to AGI so essentially what you're looking at here is Microsoft Javis okay and we did make a video on this so if you don't want to just look at the foot notes version you can go

How does it work

ahead and you can essentially look at this video because it talks about how it's essentially a mini AGI now I don't think this video got enough attention as it should have I mean it did get 100,000 views but in the wider scientific Community it wasn't really talked about that much it's all open source so how does this actually work in theory and why is it so gamechanging so you can see right here that it is broken down into four stages number one we have task planning this is where you use chat GPT to analyze the question that the user input to understand EX exactly what they're asking then you have model selection so of course like I said hugging face is a website that has many different AI softwares that can do many different things essentially this is where chat GPT must then make sure that it selects the right software for the right user input then of course we have task execution this involves the execution of the task and then of course returning those results to chat GPT then of course we have finally response generation this is where chat GPT is used to integrate all the prediction of all the models and just give the user the final response definitely something very interesting now you might be wondering what else is there about this that makes it so crazy well we're about to get into some key examples that you need to see if you're wondering what this is like it's actually quite like GPT 4 but I would argue that it's better now it's time to take a look at some of the examples so right here you can see that we have the first question it says please generate an image where a girl is reading a book and her pose is the same as the boy in the image now of course the image is a JPEG and then it also says interestingly enough then please describe the new image with your voice so the reason this example is so interesting and so important is because there are many different things that the user has actually requested and it means that are many different large language models needed to be used in order to get the end result now you can also see in stage one where it says task planning that there are six different tasks that it identifies which just goes to show chat gpt's analysis of tasks and of course then on stage two you can see that it then chooses the different models for each one you can see that it chooses one for post control object detection and it of course choosing one for the image class then of course we have task execution where it decides to execute on every single task that it needs to do and then of course it has response generation where it combines everything and gives the user a final response here we can actually see exactly what that response is you can see that image one is the image that was given by the user to chat GPT or Javis as you would Now call it and you can see right here it's then managed to translate that into image 4 and of course the audio that we do get you can also see it says the image you gave me is of a boy and of course you can see every single model that they decided to use not sure why yellow text it is definitely what is so interesting is because it doesn't just include one question it includes a single question but many different inputs you can see here that there are around three to four images that include a singular question which means that this is a pretty difficult question for Javis so you can see right here that the user actually asks how many zebras are in these pictures and of course we know that there are four there are three in the bottom picture and of course one in the last picture now of course you can see right here by the response from Javis we can see that it actually managed to get this question right it says therefore there were four zebras in these pictures is there anything I can help you with what's really cool it actually submits these images back with the zebras actually outlined in complete detail so just to show you how

Comparison

quickly AI can be developed and how fast things moves this is mid Journey versions compared you can see that literally 18 months ago or I'm not sure how many months ago it is from the date but you can see that in February 2022 this is version one then of course literally a year later a year and a couple months later we have version 5. 2 which is pretty much photo realism and ridiculous levels of quality which goes to show that AI moves quicker than most people did expect I truly did not see this coming when I heard about mid Journey version 4 I thought that was genuinely the best it's going to get I had no idea that photorealism was just around the corner and mid Journey are adding many new features all the time so think about that when you try to think about timelines as timelines sometimes do hit stagnations but often not what we're currently seeing is that acceleration point where it seems to be that there might be some exponential growth going on which could definitely shorten the timelines now of course we don't know when AGI is going to be released maybe there's going to be a great barrier that needs to be solved maybe there's something we're not thinking about but I think that all sources currently do Point towards AGI not being far out of the future especially with Google working on Gemini and opening eye stating the AGI is essentially what they want now and that's all they're focusing on

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