Why The Weatherman Is Always Wrong!

rain all week. — Why does your local weatherman always predict rain EVEN WHEN IT'S SUNNY? BUT this isn't a mistake. It's actually a phenomenon called wet bias. If the actual predicted chance of rain is 10%, the weatherman will inflate that chance of rain to something like 30%. But why? — Research shows that's what people actually want. — Believe it or not, he's right. Studies looking at thousands of forecasts compared to actual recorded weather show that government agencies like the National Weather Service are in fact super accurate. Meaning when they say 10% chance of rain, that's actually what it is. On the other hand, commercial weather forecasters like your local news will be deliberately wrong. So when it's really a 10% chance of rain, they say it's 30%. And that's because if they overpredict rain and it's sunny, nobody really cares. But if they overpredict sun and it rains, ruining your beach day, people remember that. and the weatherman and network's ratings tank. But because government forecasters don't care about ratings, they just stick to the truth. So even though your weatherman's deliberately wrong, it's better to be safe than soggy. And so, as you can see