🚨 Bitcoin Breaking Key Levels While Fear Still Dominates | The $100K Case Just Got Stronger

Bitcoin right now is doing something that doesn't quite make sense to most people. We're pushing higher, breaking through key levels, yet sentiment is still leaning towards fear. The fear and greed index is slowly ticking up, but it's not euphoric. It's still cautious, almost hesitant even. And that's what makes this move a little bit more interesting. Not necessarily the end- all beall, but it's just something to take note of because a lot of people are still anchored to the idea that the four-year cycle on Bitcoin has to play out the exact same way it always has. that we must get that clean one-year bare market that's technically supposed to be this year in 2026 with a bottom in the end of Q4 of this year. And while that's a reasonable concern not to throw it out completely by any means, it's also exactly the kind of thinking that can cause people to miss out on what's happening right in front of them now. Because in the markets, the majority doesn't usually get the timing right. And right now, Bitcoin is in a process of flipping yet another major resistance level into support. And if this level holds, we're not talking about a small move here. We're talking about a potential for Bitcoin to make another run back towards $100,000 yet again. So, in this video, I want to break down exactly what's happening here and what you should be able to look for as we walk into the weekend and why this may be a classic disbelief rally and more importantly, what opportunities could still be on the table even if we do eventually see a larger pullback later on. Because folks, this is where things get interesting. Before

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looking at Bitcoin relatively simple, right? I'm not putting out a ton of levels, lines, trend lines, patterns, what have you, right? we keep it relatively simple as much as possible for these YouTube breakdowns because I don't want to clutter it with too much noise. Right now, there's a ton of things that I could look at and, you know, analyze why this price action went here and why this exact candle did that and whatever. But looking at this just as clear as possible, making it as very simple as I can. I have two key levels here on the chart. All right, if you're been paying attention for the last few months here, right, ever since the beginning of the quarter, we had a very key level again, this $75,000. All right. Uh when we came down and we put in our $60,000 low here, we were noticing, right, that even though we had big global tensions occurring and very fearful things going on in the uh everything in the world and in the sentiment in the market, right? The sentiment is actually a really useful tool here. And talking on the fear

and greed is a really big key point. Uh right now, yes, it's tricking up into more so the greed area. You know, we're still in the neutral phase now. We were about 40 yesterday, I believe, or 40 on Monday, and now we're sitting at 47. But it's interesting because we've seen a sizable move to the upside on Bitcoin, right? Even just from, you know, the month of April of a 30% move here, uh, since the last swing from there, 33% and overall almost a 40% increase from the low. All right. Now, this has taken some time. It's been very rangebound for most of it. And I would say really just the month of April was where we've really, you know, seen that incline uh really

start to occur. And when I noted that we're flipping key levels just one after another, like again, I could pop on several additional ones, but I think that the two most important ones as we are right this moment are just here mapped out. Okay, so I have the November of 2025 low. So that's when we came down and made this uh you know, drop back here from the overall all-time high. So 126 right down to about 81 uh essentially and then we had that you know little cruise to the left. We had a rejection right off of 96 $98,000 which was our yearly pivot. All right so this was an average of price very similar to that 75K. Right? This was our new yearly average that we were looking to as we started off the brand new year in 2026. Uh we were looking for honestly I was looking for this to reject and at least sweep that low if we were going to get any type of move to the upside. This is a really good example or that was of when you have to be able to adapt to the information as it comes because very quickly we noted that on the daily time frame daily candle closed below that. So we had no sweep necessarily uh which is generally a liquidity grab or where again you stop out a lot of people trying to long everybody that was getting into new long positions here hoping the bottom was in at the time. Uh you essentially took out the high here and we would look for taking out the low and then we would look for that to continue up. However, daily closed back down below it. Next day, basically the same thing that basically signaled we were going to at least continue lower at that point. So, that ideal was gone. But the overall setup was still in play, right? Where we had that rejection sweep of the high came down that low. We did not sweep the low at that point. So, at that point, we do have to look lower, right? So, that was one thing we were looking to earlier in the year. Nice rejection off of that region. All right. So, essentially, we had the same setup as we began this new

quarter. All right. So, Bitcoin's coming into this region, rangebound, kind of taking highs, coming back down, pretty much just staying rangebound. But the big key part here, I guess, I wanted to highlight was unlike this move over here, which, you know, correct me if I'm wrong. I don't really remember what the news was. Not anything's jumping out at me. I think we were just had like a government shutdown in the US. Maybe there was something somewhere, but this is obviously where, you know, the global conflict between Iran and everything got really heated. Okay. Uh it actually didn't even get too hot right here. It was more so right here, which was uh something of note because that's two years in a row now. Uh we're right at the lows, right? So last year we had the same exact thing in the same month of the year in April. We had global conflicts and just you know fear and news headlines just getting uh at extremes. basically when we were at the, you know, the best area of the chart there. And when we came back and flipped back above this key support here, right, that gave us that move back up to the upside. Um, little different setup, of course, and never going to be the same by any means. And you're not going to see me taking like fractals of old price action and putting it over each other, but we still want to look for the same dynamics in the chart, right? So in this case, we had a low, we pushed up, we took it out, and we reclaimed it, and we got the move to the upside. This case, a little bit of a different setup here, but low is put in place. We take it out, right? We're living down below it. We're slowly grinding back up. And right now, we are potentially reclaiming that on a daily closing basis. Um, so that's really big news here. Now, I will say that we could flirt around this for a minute. I still see a world where we could get a brief pullback to just kind of take out

a couple lows down here because again, what are we getting now? Now, even though the market's still relatively in fear, and again, I want to highlight that as much as possible because with this decent move here, um, technically nothing's really materializing. Okay, you could, you know, easily say we're getting a low, lower high, a low. I mean, this can come all the way back up to 90 $90,000 region and still be a lower high and then you get that rollover. Everybody gets their bare market low down, you know, later this year, I suppose. So, for that reason, I think it's got everybody really cautious here. And again, I won't say that you shouldn't be uh because no reason not to be so far. The only thing that I like to point out when we come down to these key levels is that this is where you want to be able to or at least myself, I put on some risk when there is something, you know, kind of an identifier, which you, you know, my large shark pattern, which we're not going to get into in this video, but we had a large bullish structure basically complete. When we came down to this level here, we started to see the signs of, you know, higher lows putting in place here, which is a bullish sign of strength here. Now, we're starting to see and continuing to see key levels being flipped into support. So, $75,000 was the first one here. Your next one right here is going to be that November low. Basically, where we're at today, 80,500 give or take. We've already closed one day above, two days above. Today would be the third one if we close above that today. All right. And then what we want to see by the end of this week is going to be a weekly close above which right now we are not doing so far. All right. And that's okay because we saw something similar here even with 75,000 on a weekly close. We got a wick

through it the first time. Next week is when we actually closed above it. Then we actually back tested it right here and then we continued on up. So weekly close above 80,500 is what we want to see by Sunday night. The between now and then we want to still see our dailies continue to hold up here. And if that is the case, folks, uh there is a very high likeliness that we are going to head up back towards this 96,000 $93,000 region. And more than likely, it could be with some quickness, right? So, we're getting to a point where uh we could see uh a little short squeeze, okay? Because again, even myself as a trader, right? I can't come in brand new. Now, if I'm looking for a position today, I had to get in positions down here. Okay? If I'm looking for a position today, the only thing you can take is a short. And I say that in the sense of risk because again, even if we get that little brief move down from where we are now, which I think is something that is should be very much anticipated. Uh it won't hurt the people that have been, you know, getting involved at lower prices because of course you're still looking for that, you know, higher low. Uh we could get up from there, but anybody that's entering brand new today has to be able to stomach a move like that, right? And realistically, that's the only move we could look to is getting in on a short for that shortterm mover. Okay, as far as looking for the next opportunity, like a next buy zone, it is a really tough one because again, if we start closing above this region right here, it's likely that we head higher. You know, it's just can we come in and be a buyer here? It's hard. I you know, personally, I'm never going to be a buyer at a current high and after a 30% move to the upside. It's just it makes it very tough unless what I was willing to do was to potentially get into some sort of a position here so that if I had you know if I just wanted to get into if I want to allocate new capital at this point and I want to be a piece of that ride I anticipate more upside here I would put a smaller position here just to have something along for the ride so that I didn't just completely miss the move but be willing to scale in if we push down lower and probably hold off a larger % of my position size until we got to that region, right? There's no guarantee we get that. this. Um, but at the moment, the bias still remains that it is going to be back to the upside, even if it's not all new all-time highs, what have you. Uh, pushing back up to that $100,000 area, I think, is something that is very likely to happen. And then on top of that, like I said, not only do we have multiple structural reasons and high time frame bullish setups at hand right now, just looking across sentiment alone, and when we see that we still have plenty of room before this thing gets really greedy. Uh look at the stock

market right now. We've been pushing into new all-time highs for the last couple weeks now, and we're still only in regular greed, I guess, area, right? So, there's still a lot of caution there. And again, we should not be I'm not advocating at all to just jump in and be, you know, throwing everything you have into the markets right now at these levels. I'm just preparing you for the most likely, you know, probabilities here. And that's that it's probably going to continue higher. So, with whether you have positions already or you're just mentally prepared to see that uh and not just wonder why, like why is it just continuing up? How is it not stopping? Um so, that's the setup we're at right now. if things change, you know, we have to kind of adjust to the new information there, of course, but for now, really this 75 to $80,000 area is still really key. I think it's a important window to like not get too wrapped up in the day-to-day and really pay attention for that weekly close at the end of it, just as I showed you how uh crucial it was around uh 75,000. Okay, on a weekly candle here, this looks super simple. We got a nice little push up. We took out this high at the time. We tagged the key level. We closed back below it. That was a short, you know, setup at the time. And it did, you know, if we zoomed into the inter uh intraday moves here, this did get a decent little pullback. Still just closed higher, right? So, this is only showing you where we open and where we closed. It doesn't show you where we went, you know, every single day because this is a whole week per candle. Next candle, however, we got the nice burst to the upside. Again, it wasn't just this simple in that week. You know, it was plenty of, you know, flirting around this level, popping up, popping back down. Uh the next one we had the FOMC meeting right here. So we opened up around $80,000. Big drop back down to 75. All we did was back test that support and get that into you know our next uh our next little bounce area. And from here now we want to see the same thing on a weekly base, right? So on a oneweek base pushing up into this region could get a rejection. Yes. As long as we're holding above that one, that 75,000 on the weekly though, it's still going to hold strength to me that I think we're just basically just building up for that next move up. Okay. Now, if you're a member of Market Intel, this is where I put out my daily analysis, everything you see here and more, all my educational resources, um, direct access to me, you name it, right? But we have been or I've been looking for that $93,000 target on Bitcoin and the timing for that has been June, right? So, we're about three weeks out now. And uh I'm interested to see if we actually hit that 93K in June, which again couple weeks away. That means that we could see a little fluctuation between uh pushing up a little here to 80,000 back down to 75 and still slowly make our way to 93 uh between now and the next few weeks here. So we will see how that unfolds here in a bit. And if you would like access to the market intel community, again where I put everything, uh pretty much daily, all my resources, tools, analysis, updates, trade setups, you name it, uh head on over to data-pro. com and you can actually try this out completely free for 7 days. Access to every single thing. If you don't like it by the end of the seven days, cancel your membership. You will not be charged. But I think that you'll uh find it very valuable and we have a good time in there. So check it out if you're interested. data-pro. com. So overall

this is just one of those spots where you don't want to get too anchored to one outcome. Uh, that's one thing I like to hammer on as much as possible. Yes, there's still valid concerns out there. Yes, there's still high time frame risks that have not disappeared, but at the same time, the market is doing what it's doing right now, and that's pushing higher, holding key levels, and giving us a structure to work with. And as traders or investors, our job is not to predict perfectly. It's to be able to respond to what's happening right now. So, as long as Bitcoin continues to hold these levels and flip resistance into support, there's still opportunity here for Bitcoin to continue higher, even if later on we do get that larger pullback that people are expecting, right? So, uh that's the key here. Just be able to stay flexible, stay objective, and don't let a narrative keep you from seeing what's right in front of you. Now, I'll keep you all updated as all this develops, especially if we get confirmation on this level or if we start to lose it. Appreciate you all watching. As always, I'll see you all in the next video and until then everybody, cheers.