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Do 9 out of 10 dentists really recommend that toothpaste? | Am I Normal? with Mona Chalabi

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Do 9 out of 10 dentists really recommend that toothpaste? | Am I Normal? with Mona Chalabi

TED 26.10.2021 102 294 просмотров 3 023 лайков обн. 18.02.2026

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You've probably heard claims like 9 out of 10 dentists recommend so-and-so toothpaste. But how can you tell what's a marketing ploy versus a solid statistic? In this episode, Mona shares three questions to ask yourself when you’re faced with a suspicious statistic. (You don't need your wisdom teeth to figure it out!) Want to hear more from Mona? Follow Am I Normal? on Apple Podcasts: https://link.chtbl.com/AINyta Visit http://TED.com to get our entire library of TED Talks, transcripts, translations, personalized talk recommendations and more. The TED Talks channel features the best talks and performances from the TED Conference, where the world's leading thinkers and doers give the talk of their lives in 18 minutes (or less). Look for talks on Technology, Entertainment and Design -- plus science, business, global issues, the arts and more. You're welcome to link to or embed these videos, forward them to others and share these ideas with people you know. Become a TED Member: http://ted.com/membership Follow TED on Twitter: http://twitter.com/TEDTalks Like TED on Facebook: http://facebook.com/TED Subscribe to our channel: http://youtube.com/TED TED's videos may be used for non-commercial purposes under a Creative Commons License, Attribution–Non Commercial–No Derivatives (or the CC BY – NC – ND 4.0 International) and in accordance with our TED Talks Usage Policy (https://www.ted.com/about/our-organization/our-policies-terms/ted-talks-usage-policy). For more information on using TED for commercial purposes (e.g. employee learning, in a film or online course), please submit a Media Request at https://media-requests.ted.com

Оглавление (4 сегментов)

0:00 Intro 80 сл.
0:24 What were people actually asked 134 сл.
1:09 What arent you telling me 140 сл.
1:49 Survey context 166 сл.

Intro

Transcriber: When it comes to toothpaste commercials, you've probably heard claims like, nine out of 10 dentists recommend "Brighter, Whiter." Or maybe it's four out of five or 80 percent. But either way, these companies expect you to see a wall of white coats, trust their authority and think no further. Now that approach is basically BS, and you probably know it's BS, but the question is: How can you trust your BS radar? [Am I Normal? with Mona Chalabi]

What were people actually asked

Well, when I'm faced with suspicious statistics, I tend to ask myself three questions. First, what were people actually asked? Sometimes the question that is put to survey respondents is wildly different than the one that ends up on posters and billboards. For instance, in 2007, one toothpaste ad in the UK claimed that more than 80 percent of dentists recommended their products. What that sounds like is that a majority of dentists prefer their product over all others, that those dentists were asked if this was the best product. But when the Advertising Standards Authority looked into it, they discovered that the dentists were asked to recommend several toothpastes, not one single choice. In fact, another brand was found to be almost as popular. To no one's surprise, the ad was deemed misleading.

What arent you telling me

Now, the second question to ask is: What aren’t you telling me? In the 1970s, a sugarless gum company claimed that four out five dentists recommended their product. Now, their slogan was pretty upfront about the fact that these dentists were only recommending the product to people who already chewed gum, but they weren't so forthcoming about the fifth dentist. Decades later, the manufacturer made fun of it in a new ad campaign where they blamed the fifth dentist's different thinking on a freak accident, like a sudden squirrel bite. Now, since I'm all about the deviations in the data, I decided to look into this a little bit further. In fact, it's not that the fifth dentist recommended chewing sugary gum. What they don't say is that most of them recommended that their patients don't chew gum at all.

Survey context

The last thing to ask is: What was the survey context? Because there's a really big difference between saying "nine out of 10 dentists agree," and "nine out of these 10 dentists agree." Size matters and so does methodology. According to the American Dental Association, there are about 200,000 registered dentists in the US. I’m not going to bore you with the maths here, but to get a statistically significant sample of 200,000 people, you need about 400. So if you're reading in the fine print that only 50 dentists were surveyed, you know that's not statistically significant. It's just a marketing ploy. So the next time you see one of these ads, ask yourself: What were people actually asked? What's gone unsaid? And what was the survey context? Hopefully, with those three questions and a little bit of skepticism, you will be able to understand when the data is legit and when it's irrelevant. Nine out of 10 Monas agree. [*No such survey took place]

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