2026 is a tipping point year says political scientist Ian Bremmer. #TEDTalks

Following the United States uh raid in Venezuela and the removal of President Nicholas Maduro from power, President Trump has embraced the Donro doctrine, taking America first and applying it as foreign policy first and foremost across the Western Hemisphere as defined by the Americans. And now that Trump is leaning into the Dawnroe doctrine, that means he's going to populate it. So, it's not just a success near-term in Venezuela, but it's other countries across the region. Mexico, Colombia, uh it's Nicaragua, it's Cuba, it's Denmark and Greenland. It's all these places where the United States want outcomes that it wants and unilaterally is prepared to use its authority to bring those about. Adversaries and friends of the US are certainly concerned about this change in the way US projects power in its region and more broadly and it's going to have an enormous effect in the way we think about the world and this plays very heavily into the top risk environment in 2026. So much of it is about a United States which is engaging in a political revolution, changing the rule set inside the United States and in how the US engages with the rest of the world. Some countries are winners long term in that environment. China, India, the Gulf States. Some are losers in that environment, the Europeans. Uh, and some are just going to try to figure out how to navigate um a much more challenging and uncertain environment with a less reliable the United States, Mexico, Canada, Japan, and others. Uh, lots to talk about in a macro environment that is more uncertain geopolitically than at any time since we started covering these things back in 1998.