Iran Discussing PEACE! Bitcoin Rallies As OIL Dives Under $100! Coffee N Crypto LIVE!

Iran Discussing PEACE! Bitcoin Rallies As OIL Dives Under $100! Coffee N Crypto LIVE!

Machine-readable: Markdown · JSON API · Site index

Поделиться Telegram VK Бот
Транскрипт Скачать .md
Анализ с AI

Оглавление (11 сегментов)

Segment 1 (00:00 - 05:00)

Right now. Right now. something right now. Right now. — We try to bring you high quality educationalformational content every single day. Why is having such an anemic time? The news story of the hour jump. Is this the beginning of a massive financial unraveling? We got to add a little addendum to the show today. So, we start here on the daily. Now, we've been looking at the RSI on the Bitcoin's daily chart for the last several days. It's been increasing over the last 50 years since the government. Hey guys, what's going on? Jeff here and welcome back to Coffee Crypto Live. This is your week daily morning show where we bring you the latest in everything Bitcoin and cryptocurrency. And in today's episode, we are going to be talking about how the Iran war may be winding down. Now, we do not have a peace deal. We do not even have a 12-point plan to peace or anything like that, but what we do have are ongoing conversations about how this conflict is going to conclude. We predicted yesterday that the conflict will likely end at some point within the next few weeks. However, it does seem that it's probably not going to be ending this week. In fact, we have reason to believe that it might be dragging on even longer than a few weeks. For example, the United States military has just increased the age in which you can enlist in the military from 34 up to 42, indicating a need to continue um enlisting more service members into the armed forces. That is not something that you do if you think that you're about to enter into a time of lasting peace. However, what I do think is most likely going to happen because of the way that Iran is responding to some of Trump's comments is that there's most likely going to be an escalation before there is a deescalation. And so today, we're going to be talking about how the market is pricing in peace. However, we're probably not going to see a major peace treaty or any kind of deal take place immediately. It's probably going to take some time. And because of that, it's very likely that we're going to continue to see some tumult in global markets. not just in Bitcoin, but also in the stock market. So, today we're going to be taking a deep dive into Bitcoin and the impact of this conflict on Bitcoin, but we're also going to be taking a look at some other markets as well. I'm your host, Jeb McAfee. I've been working in the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency space for almost a decade. And I love teaching you how to get control of your finances, set them on a collision course with growth because I genuinely believe anyone with more than about $100,000 of income every year, about 100 200k a year, you can build tens of millions of dollars of wealth, if you would just put some systems in place, I genuinely believe that you interacting with our channel is going to help you grow, or else I wouldn't be here. That's the entire reason that I do what I do is because I want you to build wealth for you and your family. So, if you're looking forward to doing just that, consider hitting that subscribe button and staying tuned because we've got a lot more content to go over. Let's go ahead and read chat. We've got a lot of people in chat today. Very excited to have you all here. Sponsored by C4 Jolly Rancher. You can see that. All right. Nellian is in chat said yo um Hannah's van loggerberg. Hannah's van loggerburg that's an awesome name. Said hi just hi. Joel Caitlyn said hi. Crypto surge said good morning JB. Good morning. Sean Burns Jr. said nihow. Uh NDA Games said greetings with the Spock. Live long and prosper. Uh, Crypto OG Havoc Sab Buenos Diaz. Let's see. Joel Caitlin says Diaz Buenos Diaz. Anthony Royal in chat. Uh, Crypto Surge

Segment 2 (05:00 - 10:00)

is in chat with the oranges. There you go. MKYBM said, "Love from the Netherlands, brother. Hope the wife and kids are doing well. " They are doing great. Really appreciate it. Fancy suit. Thanks. Got to look the part. You know, we got a lot of financial content to go over here. Crypto Surge saying, "Smash the ever le ever ever loving daylights out of the like button. We've got 72 people watching and we've got three likes. " I mean, come on. That's just like a slap in the face. Do you like the video or not? We've got a lot to cover. So, without much further ado, let's go ahead and dive right on into it. Most important thing that we are witnessing today is the oil price has started to come down. And this is, as we discussed, largely because of the um conflict resolution that is in place. However, I am not convinced at all that it is going to result in what we think in. Obviously, Donald Trump outlined what peace would look like for him back here on Monday. Actually, it was Sunday night and Brent crude oil kind of dived off a cliff before Iran detailed that they are not actually going to be partaking in any peace plan. So, let's get a bit of a recap on Bitcoin here and then we'll what's going on with crude oil and the global conflict. It is important to remember that the entirety of the Iran war, and this is where I don't want to focus too much on it, the entirety of the Iran war has taken place as Bitcoin's been sitting in this flag. It's actually very interesting how little the conflict in Iran has actually affected the Bitcoin market because it's affected almost every single other market. And it's almost in it's almost difficult to keep in mind the fact that it has not really affected Bitcoin all that much. You can see that there has been a precipitous decline on the S&P 500. This has been a major falling over on most stock indexes. QQQ obviously is going through a corrective movement mirroring what Nvidia looks like. Of course, Nvidia is having this kind of sideways chop right here as well. And then we have you know many other funds that are seeing similar corrections. Socks is trading sideways although it is performing relatively well. else. So, semiconductors are doing well during this um correction, but in general, the major stock indexes are having a correction and they'd probably be diving a lot faster if not for semiconductors and for defense and energy contractors. Um, other than that, the rest of the economy is not doing very well as a result of this conflict. But it's very interesting that Bitcoin has done so well. Even gold, take a look here at gold. Gold has jumped off a cliff during this conflict. The idea is supposed to be that gold is the safe haven asset when you are in a war. And the war started on this date right there. This is what gold has done since the inception uh since the onset of the war. When the war began, gold was sitting up here above $5,300 an ounce. It recently dropped down to $4,100 an ounce. And this just goes to show you that gold is not the only safe haven asset that you need to have in your portfolio. There's nothing wrong with having some gold. That's fine. But it is also important to be diversified because as you can see, Bitcoin has substantially outperformed gold ever since the onset of the war. Bitcoin actually was in a downtrend here. As you can see, very clear downtrend. Was not looking great. Bitcoin's actually been in a slight uptrend ever since the onset of the conflict. And that's why it's interesting to me how Bitcoin is responding to the Iran war and why talks of peace do not seem to be having much of an impact on Bitcoin. because much of what is taking place on Bitcoin has been bullish ever since the onset of the war. So why is that? Well, the reason most likely for that is because the Bitcoin market has already gone through the majority of the correction that it needs. It's already gone through a major crash whereas we see things like the S&P 500 have been overextended for a time and they have not had that opportunity to correct. You look at something like the QQQ from the bottom of the tariff crash just a year ago. QQQ alone, the index rallied 57%. Bitcoin, on the other hand, had already gone through this major capitulative event, which means that the rotation out of Bitcoin into sorry, equities into Bitcoin is something that has been set up and ready to go for a very long time. And that's exactly what we're seeing right now. We are seeing that rotation out of equities into Bitcoin. And people are taking money out of gold, putting it into the Bitcoin market. And this is why you see this bullishness take place. I want to make something very clear. I am not convinced yet that the bare market is over. I'm not I'm genuinely very much not convinced that it's over. I lean in the direction until proven otherwise that Bitcoin is going to drop below $60,000 in the same way that I was a bull until our technical support broke. And that was our support at $94,000. The very hour that Bitcoin broke through $94,000, we became bears and said the bare market bottom will be between $50 and $75,000. The hour. And the reason that we were able to make that call is because for months before we hit $94,000 right here. Sorry, actually right here. For months before we hit $94,000, we had

Segment 3 (10:00 - 15:00)

found a great deal of technical analysis that said that this is our line in the sand. Should this level break, we're going into a bare market. And so we were able to predict all of this price action. Well, we have the exact same line in the sand for when Bitcoin goes into a bull market. And we've discussed it at length. And that line in the sand is the 20 weekly exponential moving average right here along with this uptrending level of resistance and this flat level of support of resistance, excuse me. If Bitcoin can break above those levels, then great, I'm a bull. But the issue that I'm running into is that we are not able to be convinced that Bitcoin is running into a bull market until we actually break through those levels. So, how does all this tie together? Well, Bitcoin has already undergone most of its correction. Whereas other assets like gold and the stock market have been overvalued, right? You have silver over here, for example. It's jumped off a cliff in the last few weeks. People talk about the volatility of Bitcoin. Are you kidding me? In less time than Bitcoin, silver dropped 50%. It shed 50% of its value in 53 days. It took Bitcoin almost 150 days to shed 50% of its value. We are starting to see the narrative that precious metals are the true store of value assets and Bitcoin is not fall apart in real time. And that's again why Bitcoin is performing relatively well right here. It's not. It is partially because of the Iran war, but it's more so because the Iran war is causing an exodus out of many other assets and that and those funds are rotating into Bitcoin because Bitcoin the world has come to realize is a solid, strong, scarce asset that is here to stay and will go back to all-time high and it is an asset that you are going to want to buy on the discount. I mean, for example, we even have a story of Vanguard, one of the most conservative um financial uh giants in the world. I believe I saw a report that they just bought $680 million worth of micro strategy worth of strategy. That's right. One of the most conservative companies, financial institutions in the world that originally turned their noses up to Bitcoin ETFs just bought $680 million worth of strategy. That's incredible. And that co and that goes to show you that comes Bitcoin is here to stay and that it is being widely regarded as a highly valued scarce asset. It is an asset that does genuinely go up over time. It is a great asset and the market is starting to realize that these are good prices. So, what would it take to cause Bitcoin to fall below $60,000? because it's very tempting for me to get emotional as a trader and say, "I don't know, Bitcoin's starting to look a little bit more bullish. Maybe I should just say the bull market's over. jump ship and say that $60,000 was the bottom. Perhaps I should do that. " But I have to ask myself two questions. Number one, is that in keeping with our principles and our systems? And number two, is that in your best interest? So, let's break that down one at a time. Number one, is that in alignment with our principles? No, it is not because the trend is our friend until it ends. And our technical analysis has clearly identified the gateway into the bull market, which is the 20WA. It is this flat level of resistance and is that uptrending level of resistance. Bitcoin needs to break through all of those and then it needs to back test them as support for Bitcoin to be in a confirmed bull market. Oh, Jeb. Well, the market doesn't have to do what you say. No, it doesn't. But the market does have to do what it says. And historically, Bitcoin has always entered into bull markets in the exact same way. It has been a break above the 20weekly exponential moving average that was sustained. Not a break where we rallied above it and fell right back below it. then bounced off of it and set genuine strong support uh support and turned it into strong support. And so we see the same thing taking place over here. We see that we broke above the 20W EMA here. We had a bit of a miniature bare market here in July through um through December of 2019 and then you see us break above it here again on top of the COVID crash and then we bounce a few times and Bitcoin takes off like a rocket ship. Same thing takes place over here. When we break above that 20weekly exponential moving average, that's when we're able to see that a major movement is taking place. And I'm not just talking about a small break above it. But I'm talking about a cons above a considerable break above the 20weekly EMA because you can see we dive below it here a few times in the bull market and that doesn't mean the bull market is over. It just means that we're in chop. So what we want to see happen is Bitcoin break and sustain a break above the 20W EMA. And that gets easier every week because the 20W EMA falls. So remember our first thing that we want to go over is calling right now a bull market in keeping with our principles. No, it is not because our principles dictate that we need to look for a break above the 20W EMA. Number two, our principles indicate that the trend is our friend until it ends. If the trend is bearish

Segment 4 (15:00 - 20:00)

then we cannot flip it to being bulls until the trend is confirmed by our technical analysis as being an uptrend. And what we find so far is that this movement right here is actually more so a bare flag than a genuine recovery. Emotionally, you see Bitcoin going up and you think, "Ah, I want to be bullish. I want to start making $80,000 $85,000 price targets. But then that leads us to our second point. Would that be in your best interest? No, it would not interest because what is as the listener of this channel and what's in my best interest as a listener of my own advice is to play it a little bit more conservative. Enjoy these purchase opportunities. $71,000 is a fantastic location to being buying Bitcoin. There's nothing wrong at all with that in my opinion. However, what we want to be very careful of is careful not to call it a bull market when it's not a bull market yet. Because what we'll end up doing is we won't take care of the downside protection. If you are constantly checking your portfolio, fiddling with the numbers, if you're constantly saying, "Ah, I think I'm going to buy now. No, no, no. I shouldn't have done that. I'm going to sell. No, I'm going to buy now. No, no. I'm going to dump half of my emergency fund in right now. I'm just 3,000 here, 3,000 there. I'm going to put 10,000 in. 20,000 mortgage the house. I'm going to put Bitcoin. You're being emotional. You don't build wealth that way. You build wealth with a system. A system that is rooted in sound principles and proven through back testing to work. Anywhere in your life, if you look around and find something that's successful, you will find a system that underpins it. If you look at your house and you notice, huh, there's no rain in my house. It's probably because for the last 4,000 years, people have been perfecting the system of a freaking roof. If you go and turn on a light switch, huh, there's light. That's because there is a system that is worth trillions of dollars to deliver electricity from minerals that we mine in the ground through cables to your home into that light bulb. There is a multi- trillion dollar system that enables you to flick a light switch and the thing turns on. And you think that you're going to build wealth without a system. Give me a break. Figure out the correct principles and use them to your benefit. The correct principles are this. We are not in a bull market until we've confirmed it. We are only in a counter trend rally. Oh, but Jeb, Jeb, you don't get it. Wait a second, Jeb. You don't understand. You're going to be so late to call the bull market if you wait for that. You're Bitcoin's going to be $85,000 before you say we're in a bull market. You're going to miss this whole runup. That's an insurance policy against which will cause you to make emotional trades that over time will not work out to your advantage. I've been doing this for a while and I have found that when you see markets moving, you see them moving almost like a sine wave. If you pull up a sine wave, markets move like this. They are cyclical. The temptation of a noob investor is to say, "Well, I just need to buy here. I need to sell there and I'll be good. If I just buy here, I just buy here and sell here, I'll be good. " But what ends up happening is that when you try and time the exact bottom and top, what you end up doing is you end up buying here and you end up selling here. And that's why you've been an investor for 5, 10, 15 years and you have nothing to show for it. Repent. Change. Do what I'm telling you. Build a system. You cannot accurately call the bottom. top. It doesn't work that way. But what you can do is you can come here with a couple of other sine waves and say these are my indicators. These indicators give me an idea of when Bitcoin or when whatever market this is our price wave. This is our indicator wave. They give us some idea of whenever the market is moving from bullish to bearish. And when I get the crossing over here, this is when I buy. When all the indicators start saying that we're actually on the up on the uptrend, it's not just a counter trend rally, but we're actually on the uptrend, that's when you buy. And then over here, when you start seeing all these indicators say that you're actually moving to the downside, technical, fundamental, onchain, etc., that's when you sell. And you'll notice that the gap here is a little bit narrower than if you had bought the exact top and bought the and sold the bought the exact bottom and sold the exact top. But the difference is this is a system that is repeatable. Buying at the very bottom and selling at the very top is a system that is not repeatable.

Segment 5 (20:00 - 25:00)

It's not repeatable. You might pull it off once. twice. You might pull it off 10 times. But nobody ever got rich at the blackjack table unless they knew how to count the cards. And so I defend my thesis that you will not build wealth unless you do one of two things. One, you actually use our understanding of how markets work. And two, you simply DCA. Because what also works is if this is your market is if you just buy here and here and here. Because what you end up seeing happen is that the market ends up moving to the upside over time. So you can do that also. So to our point, can we say that Bitcoin is in a bull market just because of this increase in price? No, we cannot. We are forbidden from our because of our principles from saying that. However, it is exciting price action. I will say that My concern is that there may be an escalation. There may be a very serious escalation in the Iran war which could cause this market to fall over. And if it does, then that is where we're most likely going to see that calculation back down towards $60,000. All right. Now, let's actually go over the news a little bit on what's actually taking place. So, obviously, Donald Trump has been discussing his plans for Iran a great deal over on Truth Social. We've seen a lot of these. I'll show you the latest that he has posted. Let me pull this up here. And that would be, you can see, it's so interesting looking through his truth social right now. Pretty much every single post other than him saying that he's the greatest president of all time is him endorsing a different political candidate for something, whether it's a governor or someone in the Senate, etc. He understands that the midterms are coming up and he's going to need all the support he can get. Let's see. The most recent thing that he discussed as it pertains to the Iran war was actually a little while ago. This is a lot of endorsements. My goodness. See if we can get to it. Was here. He said, "I am uh two days ago. " pleased to report that the United States of America and the country of Iran have had over the last two days very good and productive conversations regarding a complete and total resolution of our hostilities in the Middle East. Based on the tenor and tone of these in-depth, detailed, and constructive conversations, which will continue throughout the week, I have instructed the Department of War to postpone any and all military strikes against Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure for a 5-day period subject to the success of the ongoing meetings and discussions. So, the clock is ticking on that. That basically targets the afternoon of this Friday. And the question becomes whether or not we will actually see an end of the hostilities at that point in time. The playbook that I think that Trump is running here because the Iranians have blatantly said that no such talks have taken place. They have officially said that there are no such talks and they've also rejected any peace plans. They've said this the Kobe uh Kobesi letter um reporting um that they have set five conditions for an end to the war. Their conditions include an immediate end to attacks and assassinations of Iran, which could actually take place. Establishment of concrete guarantees against future US attacks. Doubt that's going to take place. Clear determination and guaranteed payment for war damages. That's definitely not going to take place. International recognitions of author of Iran's authority over the straight of Hormuz definitely not going to take place. An end to the war on all fronts, including for all Iranian proxies in the region. This is almost certainly not going to take place. What we are seeing here is a form of negotiation where both sides are leveling, they are leveling deals at each other that are insulting that they are never going to accept. And a big part of the reason that you do this in negotiations when you are fighting is because you want to go back to your homeland with more justification to keep raining down missiles on the on the enemy on the bad guy, right? And so the Iranians are setting forth a plan that is unacceptable for the Americans and they know it and the Americans know it. And on the other hand, the Americans are setting forth a plan that is unacceptable to the Iranians. And the Americans know it because both of them understand that they are not currently in complete and total control of their war objectives. And so they need a reason to go back to the people and say, "Well, I tried to make peace with them, but they just won't listen. " If you have kids, you've seen this happen plenty of times. Well, Daddy, I tried to make peace with her. him, but he just won't listen. Well, did you listen? No, you just wanted to be able to say that you tried, but you didn't. Did you? And you know it. And Trump and Iran know it. They know that the plans that

Segment 6 (25:00 - 30:00)

they're putting forward are never going to be accepted, but they want to be able to say that I tried. And what ends up happening after you embark on this kind of peace negotiation, what ends up happening generally is that you end up having both sides ticked off and they start shooting at each other even more because oh well I try I tried to make peace with you and the other side says well it doesn't work that way and so it just gets hotter and hotter. There's no point to good faith negotiations. Sorry. negotiations if they are not made in good faith. You've probably seen yourself and other people do this in personal conflicts. Two people are fighting. Well, I said I'm sorry. No, you didn't. You just wanted to be able to say that you said you were sorry, but you didn't mean it. Well, I said I'd stop doing it, but you're still doing it. It's the same thing. you just have people with nuclear weapons and tomahawk missiles doing it with each other. So the prediction is the prediction that I have is that these negotiations at this point in time are probably going to break down. And if they do, you're probably going to continue to start see more missiles raining down in Iran. And you're probably going to see an invasion of Kar Island because if the United States does not currently possess the leverage necessary to get the deal that they want, well, they have the military to go and capture more leverage. So, the Marine Expeditionary um the 11th the MEU the 11th division heading for the Persian Gulf right now is probably going to be the hammer to Car Island's nail and you're probably going to see a an invasion of Car Island. Boots on the ground. Now, Car Island is a 5. 6 square mile island. It is not a particularly large land mass. So, you're not talking about having to do this massive protracted land war. This is the kind of thing where you would probably see several um several hours of conflict. But if you do actually see an invasion of Car Island here, this will likely upset global financial markets. And so we need to keep in mind the impacts of those various different um conflicts on Bitcoin and on cryptocurrency. So why do we mention all that? that peace deal is probably going to break down? The reason that we mentioned that peace deal is probably going to break down is because a big part of the reason that Bitcoin is moving the way that it is because the stock market is. And if you do see that peace deal break down, you're probably going to see a major crash on stock indexes where you will likely see the US S&P 500, the SPY specifically, drop back down to 612, which is our previous all-time high. You're probably going to see QQQ drop lower down towards uh this 540 region down here. So, you need to be prepared for that outcome. And we also the fact that the stock market diving typically means that Bitcoin drops. If the stock market drops and that typically means that Bitcoin drops, we need to be on the lookout for this uptrending level of support to be broken. So far, we have seen Bitcoin respond very bullish. I don't want to say very well, but it's responded in a very bullish manner uh following the events of the Iran war. The instability in crude oil uh the price of crude oil has seemingly caused a rally on Bitcoin. But the concern that we have is how long can Bitcoin continue hedging against the entire economy slowing down when in history even though if not over the last month but in history Bitcoin has acted as more so a satellite or like a tech stock position to the US S&P 500. All of that to say perhaps I'm being too complicated. All of that to say, let's say this like caveman. We're going to do a caveman speak so that I so I'm not over complicating it. Bitcoin no breakthrough 20 SMA EMA. Bitcoin no end bull market. War no end stocks crash. Stocks crash Bitcoin crash. Be careful. There you go. That's the whole thesis. I know sometimes I have so many things going on in my mind at once. I'm like, man, you know, I'm just kind of dumping information. I need to actually make this coherent so people can understand what I'm saying. Um, it's almost like I'm speaking a different language. I'm like, man, these people speak English, not whatever robot language I'm speaking. Um, but anyway, the point is, if the Iran war doesn't end soon, stocks will continue to crater because they are overvalued. We know that. I mean, the stock market is running hotter than it has in a very long time. So, if the Iran war doesn't end soon, stocks crater. If stocks keep cratering, Bitcoin probably won't be able to continue this uptrend against stocks forever. And this is also something that's interesting when you look at um gold and silver. Ash ashish Corg said, "Please speak

Segment 7 (30:00 - 35:00)

about gold and silver. " When you look at gold and silver, these are scarce assets. These are strong commodities, right? These are commodities that are good investments. However, they're at a terrible price to invest in and they've gone through a major correction. In fact, gold has dropped right back down to its 200 daily SMA, exactly where it bounced, the 200 DSMA. Um, and it has even closed the weekly candlestick below the 20weekly EMA for the first time in about 2 years. So, this is where a bare market in gold could be taking place here. We know that all markets eventually revert to their long-term averages, and the 200 moving average is currently sitting down here at $2,600 an ounce. I would not be surprised at all to see a bare market in gold. But after that bare market concludes, I also would, excuse me, also wouldn't be surprised to see a massive rally on gold. I would not be surprised at all to see gold rally to well over $10,000 an ounce at some point over the course of the next several years. But there is most likely going to be a bare market in gold. Gold has been running extremely hot for a very long time. We've been very cautious not to call when the exact top on gold will take place but we have said repeatedly that it is eventually going to take place and we are going to need to be careful for that. When we look at the monthly chart on gold you can see that the rally up uh not last month but in January set the highest RSI read in history 96. We've never seen that ever except for when we also saw it here in uh 72 just after the um gold standard ended. Right? So we this was actually an equivalent local top to the absolute high. We didn't even rally that high back here in 2011 following the 2008 financial crisis when everyone was rotating into gold. And so there is this idea that gold is going to need to cool off at some point. We've been saying for the last 6 months, I don't know when it is, but at some point, somewhat soon, there's going to be a major bare market on gold. And I do believe that there's a very real possibility that is going to be starting somewhat soon. And so you do need to be careful of that because if there is a bare market in gold, where do people go? Well, they're probably going to go to Bitcoin. And that's why when you look at the Bitcoin over XAU chart, you can see that Bitcoin is putting in this absolutely just gorgeous bottom, beautiful, beautiful bounce taking place on the Bitcoin market. Depends on whether you're on log chart or on regular chart. If you're on the log chart, you connect these two uh bottoms and you're b and you're bottoming here. But this line actually more so works on the regular chart. You can see that there is this uptrending level of support here that um Bitcoin over gold is largely bouncing off of and Bitcoin is rallying here. And a lot of people say, oh well, you know, whether you bought now or you bought 5 years ago, Bitcoin is still valued the same against gold. But that's actually a little bit disingenuous. At that point in time in 2017, Bitcoin was r had rallied at several thousand percentage points to get to the same parody that we are at right now when it's down 70%. So that is a little bit I would say disingenuous. It's not an accurate way to describe the situation. The more situation on a gold over bitcoin market or bitcoin over gold market rather is a continual march higher. Bitcoin continues to eat market dominance from gold for breakfast and I do believe that will continue. And what this chart tells you is that gold is so exhausted that even a war, which is supposed to be the driver of investment in gold, is not enough to cause a massive investment in gold. If anything, you're actually starting to see a rotation out of overvalued gold into undervalued Bitcoin. The trade of the next two years, in other words, is most likely going to be sell precious metals, buy Bitcoin. And this is actually a trade that we've said over the last several months is one that you should be considering. Sell gold, sell silver, buy Bitcoin. And that trade has continued to print money and look good ever since the beginning of 2026. And the reason for that is very simply because precious metals were overvalued. People went to precious metals first to flee inflation. And after those precious metals had their blowoff top, then we saw that value rotated out into Bitcoin. We discussed at length how these rallies on silver were completely and totally unsustainable and you would see a massive correction at some point relatively soon. And I do remember when we saw this massive drop on silver here that this was something that we said was fundamentally breaking the market structure. It was going to be extraordinarily surprising to me if silver could continue this massive run after having had dropped 25% on the candle body in a day. In the span of just 8 days, silver dropped 47%. It's absolutely incredibly powerful. So, we need to be very careful right now with precious metals because they are going through a major corrective movement. That said, they are great investments in the long run. However, any great investment is not a great investment if you are not also getting a good price. And that is why we're looking at Bitcoin right now because we

Segment 8 (35:00 - 40:00)

know that Bitcoin is a great investment. And we also know that anything below $75,000 is a good price if you have a multi-year time horizon. So, that's my analysis on gold and silver is that the rotation out of precious metals into Bitcoin is well on its way. This is a uh narrative. This is an idea that we've been discussing at length. It's an idea that we will continue to discuss extensively. It is important to remember that we're not just looking here at this bottom at $80,000. We're also looking at this bottom here at $75,000. It's very interesting that Bitcoin has fallen below 75,000 and rejected off of it. Unless we can start getting above these levels, this is where Bitcoin is in continued bare market. So, in other words, to kind of summarize everything that we've said, Bitcoin is wedged between this uptrending level of support, this flat level of resistance at 75K, and after that, this uptrending level of resistance. If the Iran war continues to drag on, you continue to see equities dump, then you could see Bitcoin fall below this uptrending level of support. Should this uptrending level of support break, then that's where I believe that we will go to our price target of a sub $60,000 Bitcoin. This is why I still have dry powder on the side that I've not deployed. I've deployed a lot of the money that I want to deploy into Bitcoin below 70, but not all of it. Because I want to be able to load up on Bitcoin if we drop below $60,000 because at that point in time, I would be extremely confident that I am getting a generational entry. Anything below $60,000 will present itself as an incredible entry if we hold it for long enough. On the other hand, if for whatever reason we see an end to hostilities in the Middle East or what have you, then a break above $75,000, this previous bull market low and also the equivalent high here of the previous bare market. It's a very important level, 73 to 75. If we're able to break through that, then that's where you start seeing the possibility of a bull market. So, this is our overall structure. Those are the overall ideas as to why Bitcoin may or may not break out here. And I want you to be prepared for both. And the way that I am prepared for both is I've acquired a good bit of Bitcoin here. Between 60 and $70,000, probably a about half of the Bitcoin, maybe up to 60% of the cash that I want to deploy, I've deployed. However, I still have that 30 or 40% ready to deploy if Bitcoin does drop below $60,000. Either way, I am extremely confident, well over 99% confident that these will be fantastic entries for our family at some point over the next few years as Bitcoin rallies back up above $100,000 and most likely rally significantly above $100,000. So, my counsel to you, this is not financial advice. I'm not your financial adviser. my counsel, my um my input, if you will, um is to consider buying Bitcoin here because I do believe that you're going to beat the market over the next several years as Bitcoin moves into a bull market. That's why I've been buying Bitcoin. strategy stock. I've been buying a lot of stock in strategy. And I've been loading up down here because I do believe that these are investment opportunities that are not going to last. Um on the other hand, it is important to keep some dry powder in the event that Bitcoin drops down here. So, in general, what you want to do is you want to one have a system of DCA, disciplined and consistent acquisition. I know it stands for dollar cost average. We call it disciplined and consistent acquisition here on this channel because I do believe that that's a better uh better way to define exactly what it is. You need a disciplined and consistent acquisition system. You need a system where you buy markets that you believe in on a monthly basis with a portion of your budget. You need that. And to get there, you need to be more frugal. You need to get rid of all of your consumer debt. You need to free up your cash flow. You need to get a raise and you need to create margin and then dump that margin into the DCA. Two, it's important to specialize in the assets that you truly believe in the long run that are on a major discount. And right now, that's Bitcoin, right? In two years, we might see that Bitcoin's in this massive run and semiconductors are in a massive crash. Okay. Well, we're going to maybe trim some profits out of Bitcoin, rotate it into semis, or we'll just S&P 500 where we have our storehouse, right? These are different systems that we plan on building. And by the way, as our family continues to build these systems, this is something that we're going to be building and showing you guys in the first cohort uh group. These are different things that we intend to be bringing back to the first cohort. I want to revitalize the entire discord server and bring about some education, some mentorship, some disciplehip, some private live streams and private content, Q&As's, voice chat discussions, um, etc. in the Discord server. So, that's not built yet. We're trying to get the YouTube channel where we want it first and then after that we're going to work on putting a lot of these systems that we're talking about that our family actually operates in the Discord server. So stay tuned for that. Very excited to do that. Okay. All right. Now, I do also want to give you guys a big recommendation and that would be for none other than NordVPN. If you have not already signed up for NordVPN, I

Segment 9 (40:00 - 45:00)

would highly encourage you to do so. And the reason to do so is very simple. NordVPN is going to help keep you safe while you browse online. And when you are browsing online, if you're not careful, your information is getting leaked to data brokers, to hackers, to thieves. And I don't want you to have your storehouse robbed. I want you to stay safe because build wealth. And you can't build wealth if your wealth is in the hands of the enemy. So, I highly encourage you to sign up for NordVPN by going to nordvpn. com/jb or by using the link in the description box down below. You can get a big deal and save four months and get four months extra for free. Let's read a little bit of chat. Bull trap. I'm shorting Salana right now. There you go. Long the likes. Yes. Let's long the likes. Let's see if we can't get the likes up. We've got 10 likes so far. Let's see. We've got 74 likes. Not bad. Let's see if we can't get to 100, shall we? I'm late. Can you start over? Um, that's what the rewind button's for. Ricky for real. Check something. Um, what Ricky I believe is speaking about is this. Based on reports from March of 2026, Iran informed the IAEA, the International Atomic Energy Administration, that a projectile hit the premises of the Busher Bush Busher nuclear power plant. Though no significant damage to the reactor itself was reported. So that was about two days ago. I'm not sure if there's been new news since then. Let's see. Iran targets major Israeli power plant. Iran demands recognition of his natural legal right to control hormuz etc. Can Bitcoin hit $75,000? Absolutely it can. And it will. It will absolutely hit $75,000. The the question truly is when not if Bitcoin will hit $75,000 and whether or not Bitcoin will continue the bare market before then until my until our technical analysis dictates otherwise I have to be a bear. You see this is the you when you are disciplined it creates freedom. There's a book by a guy named Jaco Willing that I highly recommend all of you read. It's called Discipline equals freedom. And it is so true. It's so accurate. You think, "Oh, well, I'm going to be disciplined and I'm just going to be a slave to the system of I've created. I'm going to be a prisoner of my own prison. I'm going to be warden and prisoner. " No. Discipline does not enslave you. Discipline freys you because it forces you to cast off all of the foolishness that you've embarked on. And we have to remain disciplined to our system because we know that it works and any trader, any investor understands this. If we just start making trades or investments or doing things willy-nilly, I'll just go to the gym when I feel like it. Oh, I'll just go to work when I feel like it. It doesn't work. It does not work. you end up collapsing around. because that's not freedom. That's slavery. Discipline is the opposite of slavery because if you're not disciplined, you are a slave to your laziness and your chaos and your foolishness. And we need to do the same thing with our systems. We have to be disciplined to our systems. And our systems for right now dictate that Bitcoin needs to break above the 20 WMA before we can end up having a major breakout. All right. Look at what Israel is doing. Stock or not. Yep. You know, you've got to pay attention to you the Middle East. The Middle Eastern conflict. It is the driver. It is the driver of the tool of not of the tool. I'm sorry. I was reading what I was reading a comment. It is the driver of the global markets right now. Yeah. So the sine wave is right over here. We have our all of our tool panel. Come in right here where we have our Elliot wave and come down and you have sign lines. You also do have time cycles, right? Which time cycles are great. Um they are very helpful, right? When you're looking at time cycles out here on um log chart, you will see how that all kind of plays out here. Right. So the time cycles are very helpful. You were to go to like let's see here. Right. You can see how well this works with

Segment 10 (45:00 - 50:00)

the all-time highs. For example, got a time cycle right there. There's an alltime high. Alltime high, all-time high. You see that? So, yes, time cycles are great. You can see the lining up of the all-time highs. They're in perfect cadence with each other. And then you also see the time cycles here of the end of the bare markets, right? which end here and here. See, it starts to get off a little bit, but this is not broadly speaking what we're looking at. What we're looking at here was the uh sign lines. So what we can even do here is we can look at just kind of the idea of the markets, right? The markets are cyclical. They move in a cycle, move in a sine wave over time. Is this about war? Is this about crypto? You know, this is the thing I have to go over this quite a bit. It's about crypto. And I do apologize if you think I'm focusing too much on the conflict, but the reason that we have to discuss it is because it is one of the biggest drivers of Bitcoin's price action right now. All right, guys. I also want to give a big shout out to iTrust Capital. Make sure to sign up for IT ROR Capital with the link in the description box down below. Here's why. Bitcoin is in a phenomenal spot to be investing right now. And when you buy Bitcoin inside of a Roth IRA or a traditional IRA, you're able to buy more Bitcoin for the same amount of money. How you're able to do so? Because you don't have to pay taxes right now on what you invest in Bitcoin through a traditional IRA, which is incredible. When we are looking at buying Bitcoin, we want to do so in a way that doesn't cost us a great deal of money in taxes. And the IRA is one of the best, most powerful wealth-b buildinging tools at our disposal. So, if you haven't already, I highly encourage you to sign up for Retro Capital with the link in the description box down below. When you sign up, you're going to get a $100 funding bonus. So, make sure to sign up right now, open your IRA, and start investing in Bitcoin for the long run. All right, let's read a little bit of chat, and then we will go ahead and wrap it out. really appreciate all of you guys for being here. Dress for success. Thank you. Hi, Jeb. Good to see you. Good to see you, too, Stephen. Let's see. Really appreciate you guys being here. Up to 81 likes. Let's see. I'm going to refresh the page. 81. Thank you guys. All right, y'all. Well, uh, let's see. What's your thesis on Bitcoin? It'll hit 51st or going up. So, good. That that's a good question. We'll answer this and we'll wrap it out. This is a good way to recap. So, our thesis is until proven otherwise, the Bitcoin market is targeting a price target of sub $60,000. Where exactly is debatable. I think it's above 40,000. It's almost certainly above 40,000. Is most likely above 45,000, but it's also probably below 60,000. So, we're really looking somewhere in that $45 to $55,000 range as the ultimate bottom for this bare market. Now all of that becomes invalidated if Bitcoin starts to break and hold above the 20weekly exponential moving average. So genuinely what we are looking at right now is this um we're looking at this narrowing channel here where as Bitcoin goes forward we are only about a month away from a decision in the next month either Bitcoin breaks above the 20 W EMA or it breaks below this uptrending level of support. there's really not a lot of room in between. And so all of this gives us confidence that a major movement is likely to be coming to Bitcoin very soon. And depending on which level breaks will determine which direction the Bitcoin goes. But what we also have to understand is that we have to be in the camp of the bears because the market is bearish right now and our analysis tells us that we want to make sure that we are betting with the market until the market proves us otherwise. So I hope you guys have enjoyed today's stream. If you did, make sure to hit that like button on the way out. Make sure to sign up for iTrust Capital with the link in the description box down below in NordVPN. Make sure to follow us on X where we are constantly posting more analysis over there. That is CryptoJ. And before I go, I do just first want to thank each and every single last one of you for watching as always. And I will see you guys in the next video. Peace. — Oh, I got a real good feeling. Feel like there is like deep in my Yeah, I got a real good feeling. I feel like going

Segment 11 (50:00 - 50:00)

I've ever known. I got a real good feeling.

Другие видео автора — Crypto Jebb

Ctrl+V

Экстракт Знаний в Telegram

Экстракты и дистилляты из лучших YouTube-каналов — сразу после публикации.

Подписаться

Дайджест Экстрактов

Лучшие методички за неделю — каждый понедельник