CPI, PPI and SpaceX IPO Could Shake Markets This Week

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CPI, PPI and SpaceX IPO Could Shake Markets This Week

Trading Academy 07.06.2026 548 просмотров 35 лайков

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#StockMarket #Inflation #SpaceX FREE Trading Workshop 👉 https://tinyurl.com/bducncun For the first time in 10 weeks, the S&P, Nasdaq, and Russell finished negative, and this week brings several catalysts that could add more volatility. Merlin breaks down the quiet earnings calendar, including Oracle, Adobe, and Lennar, while keeping the main focus on inflation data and rate expectations. CPI hits Tuesday with expectations at 0.3% after recent readings of 0.9% and 0.6%, while PPI follows Thursday with expectations dropping from 1.4% to 0.7%. Merlin also covers the Bank of Canada, a possible 25 basis point hike from the European Union, oil-driven inflation pressure, and why traders should be extremely cautious around the expected SpaceX IPO on Friday. Timestamps ● 00:00 - Intro and Market Pullback Warning ● 00:33 - Quiet Earnings Calendar This Week ● 00:43 - 213 Companies Reporting ● 00:53 - Oracle Leads the Earnings Watch ● 01:10 - CPI and PPI Take the Spotlight ● 01:29 - CPI Expectations Drop to 0.3% ● 02:10 - PPI Expected to Fall From 1.4% to 0.7% ● 02:50 - Rate Hike Risk for the Fed ● 03:17 - Bank of Canada Rate Decision ● 03:38 - European Union Rate Hike Watch ● 04:31 - Volatility Around Inflation and the ECB ● 04:57 - SpaceX IPO Risk Warning ● 05:44 - Insider Shares and Selling Pressure ● 06:01 - Wrap-Up Continue Learning with Trading Academy: ● 🎓 Free Intro Class: https://www.tradingacademy.com/education/ ● 📍 Find Trading Academy Near You: https://www.tradingacademy.com/locations.aspx ● 💡 More Trading Resources: https://www.tradingacademy.com #StockMarket #Trading #Inflation #CPI #PPI #InterestRates #FederalReserve #CentralBanks #MarketVolatility #SpaceX #IPO #RiskManagement #TradingAcademy #MondayMorningMustKnows #MerlinRothfeld 💬 Question for Viewers: Which market catalyst are you watching most closely this week, CPI, PPI, the ECB decision, or the SpaceX IPO?

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Intro and Market Pullback Warning

Hello everyone and welcome to Money Morning Must Knows. My name is Merlin Roth and what an exciting week. For the first time in 10 weeks, the S& P, the Nasdaq, the Russell showing negative, a declining week. In the words of the immortal Scooby-Doo, "Ruh-roh, Raggy. " Could be some problems ahead, things slowing down. Of course, that comes into play with the big IPO expected this week of SpaceX on Friday. We'll talk about

Quiet Earnings Calendar This Week

that here in just a second. Let me start things off with the boring stuff first. We'll talk about the earnings calendar and honestly, it's so quiet almost decided to skip earnings today, but you know what? It's part of the routine. Let's just get it done.

213 Companies Reporting

213 companies reporting this week. On Monday, you've got Campbell Soup. Let's see if the fallout from their fake meat conversation will translate to their earnings. On Tuesday, you've got Casey's General Store. On Wednesday, Oracle. So

Oracle Leads the Earnings Watch

finally a big name for the week. Of course, this is huge in the AI and data center space. And on Thursday, a two-fer, Adobe and Lennar coming out with their earnings on Thursday. And that's pretty much it for the earnings calendar for the week. So, really all eyes will be on Oracle on Wednesday.

CPI and PPI Take the Spotlight

Now, we shift to the United States. There are some pretty interesting things happening with regards to inflation. The last couple of readings we've seen for producer price index, which is PPI and CPI, which is consumer price index, have been wildly volatile. So, what does it look like for the upcoming week and what are the expectations? We'll start things off with the consumer price index as we

CPI Expectations Drop to 0.3%

see here on Tuesday. The CPI numbers will be coming out at 8:30 a. m. Eastern time. You'll notice the last two spikes here. That one really tall bar was. 9, which is a complete outlier compared to what we've seen over the past couple of years. The most recent number coming out at. 6, which still is pretty elevated. Now, right now the expectations are that we're going to come out at. 3. So, we got. 9,. 6, and. 3. That would show a significant decline in the rate of inflation, but I don't know. It just seems like the crude oil price is staying above 90 may indicate that we're going to stay at an inflated period for longer. So, I'm not sure if I trust these numbers coming out, at least the expectation of what's going to be coming out. So, 2 days after this, we have the producer price index or PPI numbers

PPI Expected to Fall From 1.4% to 0.7%

coming out at 8:30 a. m. Notice this one is really a Macaulay Culkin kind of oh no kind of moment. 1. 4% inflation for that monthly reading. If you look back to the left, you'll see that it's one of the highest ones we've had in over the last 8 years. Pretty incredible. As we speak today, the expectations are we're going to come from 1. 4 down to 0. 7. Now, many of you will probably look at that and go, "Oh boy, that's great. We're dropping significantly. " We're still at 0. 7. 0. 7, if you notice on this chart, is well above these little averages for the past 3 years. So, that is not really a great sign, even if we come out at 0. 7 for PPI. What does that mean? It means we have inflation in the United States, and the big discussion

Rate Hike Risk for the Fed

now is are we going to raise rates to fight inflation? I've been saying for the past couple months, I like being on record with this stuff, that I do believe we're going to see rate increases this year, at least one, possibly even two, by the time we get to the tail end of the year, which is very, very upsetting for the current administration because they want rates to be cut, cut, cut. Now, could we learn anything from our neighbors, our allies, or just other countries around the world with what they're doing with their currencies and their interest rates? Well, lo and behold, we do have

Bank of Canada Rate Decision

some interest rate announcements happening around the world. So, we'll start things off with the Bank of Canada coming out with their rate announcement. That is going to be on Wednesday. You can see here they're at 2. 25% and expected to stay at 2. 25%. So, our neighbors to the north staying the same, which is probably what the US will do for the next monthly meeting of the FOMC. But

European Union Rate Hike Watch

wait, let's go look at that European Union. Right now, the European Union is sitting at 2. 15% and drumroll, please, the expectations are that they're going to raise by 25 basis points, jumping up to 2. 45%. That's Thursday at 8:15 a. m. Eastern Time. Why is this so important? It's incredibly significant because what it's telling us is that the European Union is feeling some of this inflationary pressure as well. Remember, we're not the only ones being impacted by the Strait of Hormuz and the Iran conflict. Europe's certainly feeling it as well with higher energy prices and that's translating into overall inflationary pressures, of course, with other pieces of their economy, but we won't dive into that here. What does it mean for us? Well, it means that if European Union is raising the rates to combat inflation or at least the foreseeable impacts of inflation, then that does increase the probability that we will do so here in the United States. So, what can you expect for the upcoming trading week? I

Volatility Around Inflation and the ECB

expect a lot of volatility. I expect all eyes to be on focus of the CPI and PPI numbers and then what the ECB does. Really, the inflation numbers are more important for the United States, but if the ECB does raise, that does put a lot of pressure and send a signal to the world that they are in fact being proactive or maybe even reactionary to the Iran conflict and the cost of increased resources with the Strait of Hormuz being closed. Now, there is one other piece here, but I don't have a graphic for you. SpaceX IPO will happen

SpaceX IPO Risk Warning

on Friday or at least it's slated to happen this coming Friday. I urge you all to be extremely cautious. IPOs are incredibly volatile. They are incredibly emotionally driven and I can tell you from my own personal experience having traded for 30 plus years that this is the single most hyped up IPO I have ever seen in my life, particularly when you look at the valuations of what they're trying to achieve. This is absolutely insane and most likely what will happen is you're going to have a huge spike up in the price of SpaceX on the initial IPO and then a significant decline. So, from a risk management perspective, I would call it a popcorn trade where you just sit back, grab a bowl of popcorn and watch it. Don't try to buy SpaceX or jump on that fad. Wait for the dust to settle. Wait for the insiders to sell

Insider Shares and Selling Pressure

it. Remember, 95% of the shares are going to be held outside of this initial IPO. Only 5% are coming to the market, which means over time those 95% of shares will be released slowly, slowly, which will cause selling pressure and push prices down. But, do what you want. Just be very careful with

Wrap-Up

that IPO. It'll be a fun one to watch. We'll probably talk about next week's Money Morning Must Haves. And that, my friends, is it for this week. We will see you next week. —

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